LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SCI

Service Corporation International

54
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SCI has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

SCI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.9x14x21x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.9x14x21x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$60.18-20%
Forward18x$74.97—
Current19x$74.97—
Fair20x$80.86+7.9%
Expensive22x$88.36+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SCI's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect SCI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SCI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$88.33
Downside-14%$64.55

Calculated from the latest close: $74.97 on Nov 12.

SCI trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.53Q1 2024: $3.49Q2 2024: $3.44Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.53Q1 2025: $3.62Q2 2025: $3.67Q3 2025: $3.69Q4 2025: $3.80Q1 2026: $3.79Q2 2026: $3.83Q3 2026: $4.03Forward: $4.22
Q4 2023: $3.53Q1 2024: $3.49Q2 2024: $3.44Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.53Q1 2025: $3.62Q2 2025: $3.67Q3 2025: $3.69Q4 2025: $3.80Q1 2026: $3.79Q2 2026: $3.83Q3 2026: $4.03Forward: $4.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.22+4.8%
Q3 2026$4.03+9.2%
Q2 2026$3.83+4.4%
Q1 2026$3.79+4.7%
Q4 2025$3.80+7.6%
Q3 2025$3.69+7%
Q2 2025$3.67+6.7%
Q1 2025$3.62+3.7%
Q4 2024$3.530%

SCI has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SCI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+4.6%
Q2 2026$1.1B+3.6%
Q1 2026$1.1B+2.1%
Q4 2025$1.1B+1.7%
Q3 2025$1.1B+4.4%
Q2 2025$1.1B+3%
Q1 2025$1.1B+2.8%
Q4 2024$1.1B+3.5%

SCI's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $140MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $233MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: $197M
Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $140MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $233MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: $197M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$197.4M+31%
Q2 2026$142.9M+71%
Q1 2026$253.9M+9%
Q4 2025$87.2M-43%
Q3 2025$150.7M-7.5%
Q2 2025$83.4M-17%
Q1 2025$233M+66%
Q4 2024$151.8M-17%

SCI has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 148MQ2 2024: 147MQ3 2024: 146MQ4 2024: 147MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 143MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 143MQ1 2026: 140MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 137M
Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 148MQ2 2024: 147MQ3 2024: 146MQ4 2024: 147MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 143MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 143MQ1 2026: 140MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 137M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.1M shares
1 year-3%-4.2M shares
3 years-9.9%-15.1M shares
5 years-19%-32.8M shares
Available history-26%-48.3M shares

SCI has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SCI Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xHigh
Q2 20264.1xHigh
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20254.0xHigh
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20254.0xHigh
Q1 20253.9xElevated
Q4 20244.0xElevated

SCI's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.2Neutral
Stochastic31.6Neutral

SCI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SCI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSCISector medianRelative
PE19x18x3.2% above
PE %344713 pts below

SCI is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$77.73.5% below
20 week MA$80.26.5% below
50 week MA$79.75.9% below
100 week MA$79.55.7% below
200 week MA$74.60.5% above

SCI has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.1$48.7+5.6%
2021$48.7$69.7+43%
2022$69.7$70.2+0.8%
2023$70.2$68.5-2.5%
2024$68.5$80.8+18%
2025$80.8$78.0-3.5%
2026 YTD$78.0$75.0-3.8%

SCI has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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