LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has a slight edge over SABR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SABR

Sabre Corporation

51
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SABR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SABR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

SABR's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SABR PE Valuation

SABR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SABR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SABR to return to profit, with revenue growing.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails SABR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SABR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$3.18
Downside-40%$1.14

Calculated from the latest close: $1.90 on Nov 12.

SABR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SABR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.56Q1 2024: $-1.43Q2 2024: $-1.22Q3 2024: $-0.77Q4 2024: $-0.73Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.92Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.34Q1 2026: $1.27Q2 2026: $1.83Q3 2026: $-0.21Forward: $0.09
Q4 2023: $-1.56Q1 2024: $-1.43Q2 2024: $-1.22Q3 2024: $-0.77Q4 2024: $-0.73Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.92Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.34Q1 2026: $1.27Q2 2026: $1.83Q3 2026: $-0.21Forward: $0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.09—
Q3 2026-$0.21-117%
Q2 2026$1.83+$2.75
Q1 2026$1.27+$1.72
Q4 2025$1.34+$2.07
Q3 2025$1.22+$1.99
Q2 2025-$0.92+$0.30
Q1 2025-$0.45+$0.98
Q4 2024-$0.73+$0.83

SABR has the edge over LCID on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SABR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SABR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $687MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $767MQ3 2024: $765MQ4 2024: $715MQ1 2025: $777MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $715MQ4 2025: $667MQ1 2026: $760MQ2 2026: $712MQ3 2026: $738M
Q4 2023: $687MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $767MQ3 2024: $765MQ4 2024: $715MQ1 2025: $777MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $715MQ4 2025: $667MQ1 2026: $760MQ2 2026: $712MQ3 2026: $738M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$738.4M+3.2%
Q2 2026$712M+3.6%
Q1 2026$760.3M-2.1%
Q4 2025$666.5M-6.7%
Q3 2025$715.2M-6.5%
Q2 2025$687.1M-10%
Q1 2025$776.6M-0.8%
Q4 2024$714.7M+4%

SABR's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $738M last quarter, up 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SABR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: −$96MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: −$98MQ2 2025: −$222MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: −$155MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: −$48M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: −$96MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: −$98MQ2 2025: −$222MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: −$155MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: −$48M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$47.5M-454%
Q2 2026$9.7M+$232.2M
Q1 2026-$155.4M-$56.9M
Q4 2025$115.8M+74%
Q3 2025$13.4M+78%
Q2 2025-$222.5M-2877%
Q1 2025-$98.5M-$2.7M
Q4 2024$66.6M-14%

SABR has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SABR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 347MQ1 2024: 380MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 386MQ4 2024: 384MQ1 2025: 455MQ2 2025: 391MQ3 2025: 429MQ4 2025: 392MQ1 2026: 398MQ2 2026: 399MQ3 2026: 404M
Q4 2023: 347MQ1 2024: 380MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 386MQ4 2024: 384MQ1 2025: 455MQ2 2025: 391MQ3 2025: 429MQ4 2025: 392MQ1 2026: 398MQ2 2026: 399MQ3 2026: 404M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+4.3M shares
1 year-6%-25.6M shares
3 years+17%+58.5M shares
5 years+25%+80.9M shares
Available history+46%+127M shares

SABR has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SABR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 21.4xQ1 2024: 15.1xQ2 2024: 11.4xQ3 2024: 10.9xQ4 2024: 10.4xQ1 2025: 10.7xQ2 2025: 10.6xQ3 2025: 7.9xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.6xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 8.4x
Q4 2023: 21.4xQ1 2024: 15.1xQ2 2024: 11.4xQ3 2024: 10.9xQ4 2024: 10.4xQ1 2025: 10.7xQ2 2025: 10.6xQ3 2025: 7.9xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.6xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 8.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.4xHigh
Q2 20268.4xHigh
Q1 20268.6xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20257.9xHigh
Q2 202510.6xHigh
Q1 202510.7xHigh
Q4 202410.4xHigh

SABR's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.9 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SABR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic26.2Neutral

SABR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SABR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSABRSector medianRelative
PE0.9x18x95% below
PE %54742 pts below

SABR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SABR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.815% above
20 week MA$1.942.1% below
50 week MA$1.6912% above
100 week MA$2.1813% below
200 week MA$2.9836% below

SABR has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SABR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.9$11.4-50%
2021$11.4$8.91-22%
2022$8.91$5.94-33%
2023$5.94$4.40-26%
2024$4.40$3.67-17%
2025$3.67$1.39-62%
2026 YTD$1.39$1.90+37%

SABR has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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