LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RVLV

Revolve Group, Inc.

60
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

RVLV has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RVLV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

RVLV's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RVLV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x75x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x75x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current20x$18.75—
Forward21x$18.75—
Cheap23x$21.58+15%
Fair33x$30.57+63%
Expensive55x$51.31+174%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RVLV's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RVLV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RVLV, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails RVLV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RVLV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$27.13
Downside-24%$14.28

Calculated from the latest close: $18.75 on Nov 12.

RVLV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

RVLV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.38Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.56Q4 2024: $0.69Q1 2025: $0.70Q2 2025: $0.63Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.02Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $0.89
Q4 2023: $0.38Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.56Q4 2024: $0.69Q1 2025: $0.70Q2 2025: $0.63Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.02Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $0.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.89-4.5%
Q3 2026$0.93+21%
Q2 2026$1.02+62%
Q1 2026$0.90+29%
Q4 2025$0.86+25%
Q3 2025$0.77+38%
Q2 2025$0.63+40%
Q1 2025$0.70+106%
Q4 2024$0.69+82%

RVLV has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over RVLV on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RVLV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $271MQ2 2024: $282MQ3 2024: $283MQ4 2024: $294MQ1 2025: $297MQ2 2025: $309MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: $324MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $347MQ3 2026: $356M
Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $271MQ2 2024: $282MQ3 2024: $283MQ4 2024: $294MQ1 2025: $297MQ2 2025: $309MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: $324MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $347MQ3 2026: $356M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$356M+20%
Q2 2026$347.4M+12%
Q1 2026$342.9M+16%
Q4 2025$324.4M+10%
Q3 2025$295.6M+4.4%
Q2 2025$309M+9.4%
Q1 2025$296.7M+9.7%
Q4 2024$293.7M+14%

RVLV's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $356M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

RVLV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: −$26MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: −$27M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: −$26MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: −$27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$27.4M-465%
Q2 2026-$11.1M-206%
Q1 2026$44.5M+2.5%
Q4 2025-$13.3M-736%
Q3 2025$7.5M-6.5%
Q2 2025$10.4M+$36.1M
Q1 2025$43.4M+18%
Q4 2024$2.1M+$7M

RVLV has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

RVLV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 72MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 72MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 72MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-140K shares
1 year-0.2%-145K shares
3 years-2.5%-1.9M shares
5 years-4%-3M shares
Available history-0.1%-45K shares

RVLV has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RVLV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.0xQ1 2024: -11.2xQ2 2024: -7.3xQ3 2024: -5.4xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -4.5xQ4 2025: -3.7xQ1 2026: -4.2xQ2 2026: -3.7xQ3 2026: -3.4x
Q4 2023: -9.0xQ1 2024: -11.2xQ2 2024: -7.3xQ3 2024: -5.4xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -4.5xQ4 2025: -3.7xQ1 2026: -4.2xQ2 2026: -3.7xQ3 2026: -3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash

RVLV has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RVLV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.0Neutral
Stochastic19.2Oversold

RVLV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RVLV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRVLVSector medianRelative
PE20x18x12% above
PE %24745 pts below

RVLV is trading at 20x earnings, a 12% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

RVLV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.111% below
20 week MA$22.416% below
50 week MA$23.921% below
100 week MA$23.721% below
200 week MA$21.914% below

RVLV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

RVLV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.0$30.5+61%
2021$30.5$56.4+85%
2022$56.4$23.4-59%
2023$23.4$16.6-29%
2024$16.6$33.6+103%
2025$33.6$30.4-9.4%
2026 YTD$30.4$18.8-38%

RVLV has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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