LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RSI

Rush Street Interactive, Inc.

61
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RSI has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

RSI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RSI PE Valuation

RSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RSI, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RSI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$17.55
Downside-31%$8.09

Calculated from the latest close: $11.80 on Nov 12.

RSI trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

RSI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 224% for LCID versus RSI up 1,200%.

RSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.27Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $-0.09Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $0.09Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.26Forward: $0.73
Q4 2023: $-0.27Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $-0.09Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $0.09Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.26Forward: $0.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.73+179%
Q3 2025$0.26+$0.28
Q2 2025$0.21+$0.30
Q1 2025$0.09+$0.26
Q4 2024$0.03+$0.30
Q3 2024-$0.02+$0.37
Q2 2024-$0.09+$0.34
Q1 2024-$0.17+$0.31
Q4 2023-$0.27+$0.34

RSI has returned to profit: it earned $0.26 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over RSI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $232MQ4 2024: $254MQ1 2025: $262MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $325MQ1 2026: $370MQ2 2026: $394MQ3 2026: $386M
Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $232MQ4 2024: $254MQ1 2025: $262MQ2 2025: $269MQ3 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $325MQ1 2026: $370MQ2 2026: $394MQ3 2026: $386M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$385.9M+39%
Q2 2026$393.8M+46%
Q1 2026$370.4M+41%
Q4 2025$324.9M+28%
Q3 2025$277.9M+20%
Q2 2025$269.2M+22%
Q1 2025$262.4M+21%
Q4 2024$254.2M+31%

RSI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2021: $386M last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

RSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $546,000Q1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $41MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $546,000Q1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $41MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$70.3M+71%
Q2 2026$51.7M+102%
Q1 2026$19.9M-30%
Q4 2025$68.9M+168%
Q3 2025$41.2M+41%
Q2 2025$25.6M+29%
Q1 2025$28.6M-6.8%
Q4 2024$25.7M+4612%

RSI has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

RSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 80MQ3 2024: 233MQ1 2025: 234MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 236MQ4 2025: 236MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 121M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 80MQ3 2024: 233MQ1 2025: 234MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 236MQ4 2025: 236MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 121M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.2%+4.9M shares
1 year-49%-116M shares
3 years+79%+53.5M shares
5 years+104%+61.7M shares

RSI has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RSI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -61.5xQ2 2024: -9.2xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -4.1xQ1 2025: -3.2xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q1 2024: -61.5xQ2 2024: -9.2xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -4.1xQ1 2025: -3.2xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.1xNet Cash

RSI has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI23.5Oversold
Stochastic3.4Oversold

RSI's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRSISector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

RSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

RSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.227% below
20 week MA$23.249% below
50 week MA$22.648% below
100 week MA$19.038% below
200 week MA$12.66.4% below

RSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

RSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.62$23.9+149%
2021$23.9$17.0-29%
2022$17.0$3.02-82%
2023$3.02$4.49+49%
2024$4.49$13.7+206%
2025$13.7$19.5+42%
2026 YTD$19.5$11.8-39%

RSI has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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