LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has the edge over RRR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
RRR
Red Rock Resorts, Inc.
RRR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RRR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
RRR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RRR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $23.83 | -52% |
| Fair | 18x | $35.23 | -28% |
| Forward | 19x | $49.19 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $40.91 | -17% |
| Current | 25x | $49.19 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RRR's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RRR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RRR, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
RRR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.63 | +34% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.97 | -38% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.82 | -4.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.12 | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.16 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.96 | +5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.60 | -9.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.53 | -14% |
RRR has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over RRR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
RRR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $488.7M | +2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $510.3M | -3% |
| Q1 2026 | $507.3M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $511.8M | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $475.6M | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $526.3M | +8.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $497.9M | +1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $495.7M | +7.1% |
RRR's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $489M last quarter, up 2.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.5% | -22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 27% | -5.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 28% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +3.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | -8.4 points |
RRR has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
RRR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$67.7M | -191% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.2M | -77% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.6M | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $77.7M | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $74.6M | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $80.3M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $58M | +104% |
| Q4 2024 | $121.4M | +$149.4M |
RRR has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
RRR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -740K shares |
| 1 year | -43% | -44.6M shares |
| 3 years | -44% | -45.1M shares |
| 5 years | -50% | -58.4M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -11.5M shares |
RRR has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.7M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $38.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $48.2M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
RRR spent $113M buying back its own shares over the past year.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RRR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
RRR's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.1 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
RRR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.4 | Oversold |
RRR's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RRR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RRR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 39% above |
| PE % | 90 | 47 | 43 pts above |
RRR is trading at 25x earnings, a 39% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
RRR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $49.5 | 0.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $56.3 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.1 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $54.8 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.3 | 6% below |
RRR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6% below its 200-week average.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
RRR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.0 | $25.5 | +6.4% |
| 2021 | $25.5 | $52.7 | +106% |
| 2022 | $52.7 | $40.1 | -24% |
| 2023 | $40.1 | $53.3 | +33% |
| 2024 | $53.3 | $46.2 | -13% |
| 2025 | $46.2 | $62.7 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $62.7 | $49.2 | -22% |
RRR has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.