LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RRGB

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.

53
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

RRGB has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RRGB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure

RRGB's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RRGB PE Valuation

RRGB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RRGB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect RRGB's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails RRGB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RRGB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$15.22
Downside-42%$5.11

Calculated from the latest close: $8.83 on Nov 12.

RRGB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over RRGB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RRGB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.26Q4 2023: $-1.34Q2 2024: $-1.76Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-3.29Q4 2024: $-4.93Q2 2025: $-4.25Q3 2025: $-3.43Q4 2025: $-3.26Q4 2025: $-1.31Q2 2026: $-1.50Q3 2026: $-1.69
Q4 2023: $-3.26Q4 2023: $-1.34Q2 2024: $-1.76Q3 2024: $-2.61Q4 2024: $-3.29Q4 2024: $-4.93Q2 2025: $-4.25Q3 2025: $-3.43Q4 2025: $-3.26Q4 2025: $-1.31Q2 2026: $-1.50Q3 2026: $-1.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.69+$1.74
Q2 2026-$1.50+$2.75
Q4 2025-$1.31+$3.62
Q3 2025-$3.26+$0.03
Q2 2025-$3.43-$0.82
Q2 2025-$4.25-$2.49
Q4 2024-$4.93-$3.59
Q3 2024-$3.29-$0.03

RRGB is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.69 per share over the past year, against $19.29 at its worst in late 2020.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over RRGB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RRGB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $278MQ4 2023: $309MQ2 2024: $389MQ3 2024: $300MQ4 2024: $275MQ4 2024: $285MQ2 2025: $392MQ3 2025: $284MQ4 2025: $265MQ4 2025: $269MQ2 2026: $378MQ3 2026: $278M
Q4 2023: $278MQ4 2023: $309MQ2 2024: $389MQ3 2024: $300MQ4 2024: $275MQ4 2024: $285MQ2 2025: $392MQ3 2025: $284MQ4 2025: $265MQ4 2025: $269MQ2 2026: $378MQ3 2026: $278M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$277.6M-2.1%
Q2 2026$378.3M-3.6%
Q4 2025$269M-5.7%
Q3 2025$265.1M-3.5%
Q2 2025$283.7M-5.5%
Q2 2025$392.4M+1%
Q4 2024$285.2M-7.7%
Q3 2024$274.6M-1.1%

RRGB's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $278M last quarter, down 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

RRGB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$12MQ4 2023: −$31MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$1MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $5MQ2 2026: $268,000Q3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: −$12MQ4 2023: −$31MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$1MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $5MQ2 2026: $268,000Q3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2.7M-20%
Q2 2026$268K-96%
Q4 2025$5.3M+$6.7M
Q3 2025-$10.1M+$7.9M
Q2 2025$3.4M+$8.5M
Q2 2025$7.6M+39%
Q4 2024-$1.4M+$29.5M
Q3 2024-$18M-$5.8M

RRGB has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

RRGB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ4 2023: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 16MQ4 2023: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+21%+3.8M shares
1 year+16%+2.9M shares
3 years+34%+5.6M shares
5 years+40%+6.2M shares
Available history+69%+8.9M shares

RRGB has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RRGB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 32.5xQ2 2025: 10.7xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 3.1x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 32.5xQ2 2025: 10.7xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q2 202510.7xHigh
Q4 202432.5xHigh
Q3 20245.1xHigh

RRGB's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.4 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RRGB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic50.4Neutral

RRGB's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RRGB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RRGB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

RRGB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.424.9% above
20 week MA$8.237.3% above
50 week MA$5.7853% above
100 week MA$5.4961% above
200 week MA$7.2721% above

RRGB has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

RRGB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.0$20.1-35%
2021$20.1$17.2-15%
2022$17.2$5.70-67%
2023$5.70$12.5+119%
2024$12.5$5.39-57%
2025$5.39$4.31-20%
2026 YTD$4.31$8.83+105%

RRGB has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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