LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over RKLB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $350M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over LCID on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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