LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RDNW

RideNow Group, Inc.

56
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

RDNW has the edge over LCID overall on the model score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RDNW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

RDNW's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDNW PE Valuation

RDNW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 50x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDNW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect RDNW to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LCID and RDNW's risk to reward.

RDNW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $4.70 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LCID and RDNW's risk to reward.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

RDNW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-12.15Q1 2024: $-11.40Q2 2024: $-10.59Q3 2024: $-9.93Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-2.19Q2 2025: $-3.02Q3 2025: $-2.81Q4 2025: $-1.38Q1 2026: $-1.23Q2 2026: $-0.22Q3 2026: $-0.47Forward: $0.09
Q4 2023: $-12.15Q1 2024: $-11.40Q2 2024: $-10.59Q3 2024: $-9.93Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-2.19Q2 2025: $-3.02Q3 2025: $-2.81Q4 2025: $-1.38Q1 2026: $-1.23Q2 2026: $-0.22Q3 2026: $-0.47Forward: $0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.09—
Q3 2026-$0.47+$2.34
Q2 2026-$0.22+$2.80
Q1 2026-$1.23+$0.96
Q4 2025-$1.38+$0.84
Q3 2025-$2.81+$7.12
Q2 2025-$3.02+$7.57
Q1 2025-$2.19+$9.21
Q4 2024-$2.22+$9.93

RDNW has the edge over LCID on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over RDNW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDNW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $308MQ2 2024: $337MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $270MQ1 2025: $245MQ2 2025: $300MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $257MQ1 2026: $260MQ2 2026: $297MQ3 2026: $244M
Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $308MQ2 2024: $337MQ3 2024: $295MQ4 2024: $270MQ1 2025: $245MQ2 2025: $300MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $257MQ1 2026: $260MQ2 2026: $297MQ3 2026: $244M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$244.3M-13%
Q2 2026$296.8M-1%
Q1 2026$260.4M+6.4%
Q4 2025$256.9M-4.7%
Q3 2025$281M-4.7%
Q2 2025$299.9M-11%
Q1 2025$244.7M-21%
Q4 2024$269.6M-13%

RDNW's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $244M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

RDNW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$200,000Q1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$14M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$200,000Q1 2026: −$28MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: −$14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$14.4M-253%
Q2 2026-$1.6M-119%
Q1 2026-$28.2M-$20.8M
Q4 2025-$200K-101%
Q3 2025$9.4M-76%
Q2 2025$8.5M-68%
Q1 2025-$7.4M-470%
Q4 2024$30.4M+$55.9M

RDNW has burned cash in most quarters: −$44M over the past year, against $41M the year before.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

RDNW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-3K shares
1 year+2.4%+901K shares
3 years+134%+22.3M shares
5 years+461%+32M shares
Available history+3394%+37.8M shares

RDNW has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RDNW Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 20.2xQ1 2026: 14.8xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 4.4x
Q4 2025: 20.2xQ1 2026: 14.8xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.4xHigh
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 202614.8xHigh
Q4 202520.2xHigh
Q3 20221.3xHealthy
Q2 20221.1xHealthy
Q1 20222.7xModerate
Q1 202196.2xHigh

RDNW's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RDNW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.2Neutral
Stochastic13.8Oversold

RDNW's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDNW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRDNWSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

RDNW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

RDNW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.2310% below
20 week MA$6.3526% below
50 week MA$4.358% above
100 week MA$4.494.7% above
200 week MA$7.2335% below

RDNW has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

RDNW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.7$30.2+70%
2021$30.2$39.7+31%
2022$39.7$6.45-84%
2023$6.45$8.14+26%
2024$8.14$5.48-33%
2025$5.48$5.30-3.3%
2026 YTD$5.30$4.70-11%

RDNW has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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