LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RCKY

Rocky Brands, Inc.

73
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

RCKY has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RCKY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

RCKY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RCKY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.7x11x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.7x11x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$46.61-9.9%
Current11x$51.71—
Fair13x$58.73+14%
Forward13x$51.71—
Expensive17x$75.66+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RCKY's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x, in its fair range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RCKY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RCKY, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails RCKY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RCKY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$79.89
Downside-18%$42.65

Calculated from the latest close: $51.71 on Nov 12.

RCKY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

RCKY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.41Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $2.00Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.84Q2 2025: $2.49Q3 2025: $2.75Q4 2025: $2.96Q1 2026: $2.47Q2 2026: $3.82Q3 2026: $4.55Forward: $4.09
Q4 2023: $1.41Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $2.00Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.84Q2 2025: $2.49Q3 2025: $2.75Q4 2025: $2.96Q1 2026: $2.47Q2 2026: $3.82Q3 2026: $4.55Forward: $4.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.09-10%
Q3 2026$4.55+65%
Q2 2026$3.82+53%
Q1 2026$2.47+34%
Q4 2025$2.96+95%
Q3 2025$2.75+55%
Q2 2025$2.49+25%
Q1 2025$1.84+2.2%
Q4 2024$1.52+7.8%

RCKY has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over RCKY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RCKY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: $113MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $139M
Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: $113MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $139M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$138.8M+13%
Q2 2026$118.4M+12%
Q1 2026$124.4M+9.1%
Q4 2025$139.7M+9.1%
Q3 2025$122.5M+7%
Q2 2025$105.6M+7.5%
Q1 2025$114.1M+1%
Q4 2024$128.1M+1.7%

RCKY's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $139M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

RCKY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $529,000Q2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $744,000Q2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $529,000Q2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $744,000Q2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3M+$11.4M
Q2 2026$4.1M+$6.5M
Q1 2026$744K+41%
Q4 2025$16.7M-27%
Q3 2025-$5.2M-249%
Q2 2025-$2.4M-151%
Q1 2025$529K-97%
Q4 2024$22.9M-45%

RCKY has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

RCKY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+21K shares
1 year+1%+76K shares
3 years+3.3%+244K shares
5 years+3.4%+249K shares
Available history+2.4%+180K shares

RCKY has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RCKY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

RCKY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RCKY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.5Neutral
Stochastic70.6Neutral

RCKY's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RCKY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRCKYSector medianRelative
PE11x18x37% below
PE %284719 pts below

RCKY is trading at 11x earnings, a 37% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

RCKY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.78.4% above
20 week MA$45.713% above
50 week MA$40.229% above
100 week MA$32.062% above
200 week MA$29.079% above

RCKY has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

RCKY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$28.70%
2021$28.7$38.6+35%
2022$38.6$24.0-38%
2023$24.0$30.2+26%
2024$30.2$22.5-25%
2025$22.5$30.0+33%
2026 YTD$30.0$51.7+72%

RCKY has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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