LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

QSR

Restaurant Brands International Inc.

69
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

QSR has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

QSR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Weak

QSR's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QSR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$75.48—
Forward18x$75.48—
Cheap19x$82.16+8.8%
Fair23x$99.03+31%
Expensive28x$121+61%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QSR's PE is in its cheap range at 17.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17.5x.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

QSR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect QSR's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QSR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QSR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$90.37
Downside-12%$66.51

Calculated from the latest close: $75.48 on Nov 12.

QSR trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

QSR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.76Q1 2024: $3.87Q2 2024: $3.98Q3 2024: $3.98Q4 2024: $3.18Q1 2025: $2.95Q2 2025: $2.64Q3 2025: $2.81Q4 2025: $2.35Q1 2026: $2.83Q2 2026: $3.71Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $4.30
Q4 2023: $3.76Q1 2024: $3.87Q2 2024: $3.98Q3 2024: $3.98Q4 2024: $3.18Q1 2025: $2.95Q2 2025: $2.64Q3 2025: $2.81Q4 2025: $2.35Q1 2026: $2.83Q2 2026: $3.71Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $4.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.30+0.3%
Q3 2026$4.29+53%
Q2 2026$3.71+41%
Q1 2026$2.83-4.1%
Q4 2025$2.35-26%
Q3 2025$2.81-29%
Q2 2025$2.64-34%
Q1 2025$2.95-24%
Q4 2024$3.18-15%

QSR has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over QSR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

QSR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+3.1%
Q2 2026$2.5B+4.6%
Q1 2026$2.3B+7.3%
Q4 2025$2.5B+7.4%
Q3 2025$2.4B+6.9%
Q2 2025$2.4B+16%
Q1 2025$2.1B+21%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

QSR's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $2.5B last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

QSR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $356MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $291MQ3 2024: $485MQ4 2024: $404MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $411MQ3 2025: $531MQ4 2025: $453MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: $356MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $291MQ3 2024: $485MQ4 2024: $404MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $411MQ3 2025: $531MQ4 2025: $453MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$479M-9.8%
Q2 2026$479M+17%
Q1 2026$169M+213%
Q4 2025$453M+12%
Q3 2025$531M+9.5%
Q2 2025$411M+41%
Q1 2025$54M-56%
Q4 2024$404M+13%

QSR has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

QSR Total Shares

Q1 2024: 453MQ2 2024: 453MQ3 2024: 454MQ1 2025: 456MQ2 2025: 457MQ3 2025: 457MQ1 2026: 459MQ2 2026: 460MQ3 2026: 457M
Q1 2024: 453MQ2 2024: 453MQ3 2024: 454MQ1 2025: 456MQ2 2025: 457MQ3 2025: 457MQ1 2026: 459MQ2 2026: 460MQ3 2026: 457M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-3M shares
1 year0%--
3 years+0.7%+3M shares
5 years-2.6%-12M shares

QSR has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

QSR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 4.9xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.2x
Q4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 4.9xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.2xHigh
Q2 20264.2xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20254.9xHigh
Q2 20255.2xHigh
Q1 20254.9xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

QSR's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.9 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

QSR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic48.0Neutral

QSR's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QSR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricQSRSector medianRelative
PE18x18x2.4% below
PE %74740 pts below

QSR is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

QSR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.52.7% above
20 week MA$75.00.6% above
50 week MA$73.82.3% above
100 week MA$69.98% above
200 week MA$70.57% above

QSR has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

QSR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.5$60.7-5.9%
2021$60.7$59.3-2.3%
2022$59.3$65.0+9.6%
2023$65.0$78.1+20%
2024$78.1$65.5-16%
2025$65.5$69.9+6.6%
2026 YTD$69.9$75.5+8%

QSR has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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