LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over PTLO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PTLO

Portillo's Inc.

48
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

PTLO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PTLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

PTLO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PTLO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$4.20-37%
Forward26x$6.68—
Fair27x$5.84-13%
Current30x$6.68—
Expensive64x$14.12+111%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PTLO's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PTLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PTLO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PTLO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PTLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$8.58
Downside-36%$4.28

Calculated from the latest close: $6.68 on Nov 12.

PTLO trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

PTLO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.39Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.46Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $0.25
Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.39Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.46Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $0.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.25+16%
Q3 2026$0.22-39%
Q2 2026$0.18-60%
Q1 2026$0.21-51%
Q4 2025$0.27-41%
Q3 2025$0.36-16%
Q2 2025$0.45+15%
Q1 2025$0.43+4.9%
Q4 2024$0.46+44%

PTLO has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over PTLO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PTLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $185MQ1 2025: $176MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $185MQ1 2025: $176MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$194.1M+7%
Q2 2026$199M+5.6%
Q1 2026$182.6M+3.5%
Q4 2025$185.7M+0.6%
Q3 2025$181.4M+1.8%
Q2 2025$188.5M+3.6%
Q1 2025$176.4M+6.4%
Q4 2024$184.6M-1.7%

PTLO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $194M last quarter, up 7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

PTLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$907,000Q2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$907,000Q2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16.8M+$21.7M
Q2 2026$5.9M+13%
Q1 2026-$907K+$8.7M
Q4 2025-$9.2M-$3.6M
Q3 2025-$5M-164%
Q2 2025$5.2M-67%
Q1 2025-$9.6M-$1.7M
Q4 2024-$5.6M+$7.5M

PTLO has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

PTLO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+262K shares
1 year-0.7%-541K shares
3 years+25%+14.7M shares
5 years+119%+39.9M shares

PTLO has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PTLO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.9xHigh
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

PTLO's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PTLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.8Neutral
Stochastic85.6Overbought

PTLO's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PTLO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPTLOSector medianRelative
PE30x18x68% above
PE %59563 pts above

PTLO is trading at 30x earnings, a 68% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

PTLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.7640% above
20 week MA$4.6444% above
50 week MA$4.9335% above
100 week MA$7.399.6% below
200 week MA$11.542% below

PTLO has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

PTLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$37.4$38.3+2.4%
2022$38.3$17.2-55%
2023$17.2$15.9-7.3%
2024$15.9$8.98-44%
2025$8.98$4.71-48%
2026 YTD$4.71$6.68+42%

PTLO has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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