LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PHIN

PHINIA Inc.

73
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PHIN has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PHIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

PHIN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PHIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.6x17x26x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.6x17x26x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$72.51—
Current15x$72.51—
Cheap19x$92.38+27%
Fair22x$110+52%
Expensive25x$121+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PHIN's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PHIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PHIN, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails PHIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PHIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$102.00
Downside-13%$63.39

Calculated from the latest close: $72.51 on Nov 12.

PHIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

PHIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.30Q2 2024: $1.87Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $2.60Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $3.48Q3 2026: $4.95Forward: $6.94
Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.30Q2 2024: $1.87Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $2.60Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $3.48Q3 2026: $4.95Forward: $6.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.94+40%
Q3 2026$4.95+122%
Q2 2026$3.48+34%
Q1 2026$3.57+102%
Q4 2025$3.24+84%
Q3 2025$2.23-4.3%
Q2 2025$2.60+39%
Q1 2025$1.77-23%
Q4 2024$1.76-15%

PHIN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over PHIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $882MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $868MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $833MQ1 2025: $796MQ2 2025: $890MQ3 2025: $908MQ4 2025: $889MQ1 2026: $878MQ2 2026: $940MQ3 2026: $912M
Q4 2023: $882MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $868MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $833MQ1 2025: $796MQ2 2025: $890MQ3 2025: $908MQ4 2025: $889MQ1 2026: $878MQ2 2026: $940MQ3 2026: $912M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$912M+0.4%
Q2 2026$940M+5.6%
Q1 2026$878M+10%
Q4 2025$889M+6.7%
Q3 2025$908M+8.2%
Q2 2025$890M+2.5%
Q1 2025$796M-7.8%
Q4 2024$833M-5.6%

PHIN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $912M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

PHIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$70M-25%
Q2 2026$69M+200%
Q1 2026$21M+320%
Q4 2025$67M+26%
Q3 2025$93M+33%
Q2 2025$23M-75%
Q1 2025$5M+$17M
Q4 2024$53M+83%

PHIN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

PHIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 37M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 37M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-900K shares
1 year-6.3%-2.5M shares
3 years-21%-10M shares

PHIN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PHIN Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

PHIN's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PHIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.2Neutral
Stochastic55.5Neutral

PHIN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PHIN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPHINSector medianRelative
PE15x18x19% below
PE %13534 pts below

PHIN is trading at 15x earnings, a 19% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

PHIN has stronger trend alignment. LCID is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus PHIN above 4 of 4.

PHIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.416% above
20 week MA$68.65.6% above
50 week MA$70.23.3% above
100 week MA$59.622% above

PHIN is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 22% above its 100-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

PHIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$31.5$30.3-3.8%
2024$30.3$48.2+59%
2025$48.2$61.4+27%
2026 YTD$61.4$72.5+18%

PHIN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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