LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PACK
Ranpak Holdings Corp.
PACK has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PACK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
PACK's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PACK PE Valuation
PACK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PACK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect PACK's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID has the edge over PACK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PACK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.40 | +$0.07 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.44 | +$0.01 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.44 | -$0.15 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.45 | -$0.19 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.47 | -$0.23 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.45 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.29 | -$0.01 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.26 | +$0.07 |
PACK is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.40 per share over the past year, against $0.69 at its worst in late 2019.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over PACK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
PACK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $101.9M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $105.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $101.2M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $111.9M | +6.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $99.6M | +8% |
| Q2 2025 | $92.3M | +6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $91.2M | +6.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $105M | +16% |
PACK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $102M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0% | +5.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.3% | +8.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8% | +5 points |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5.7% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.8% | -3.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | +6.4 points |
PACK has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
PACK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.3M | +87% |
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$5.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $3.5M | +$5M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.7M | +246% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.1M | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.5M | -131% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.5M | -152% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7M | -38% |
PACK has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
PACK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +133K shares |
| 1 year | +1.7% | +1.4M shares |
| 3 years | +4.2% | +3.4M shares |
| 5 years | +5.4% | +4.4M shares |
| Available history | +21% | +14.9M shares |
PACK has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PACK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.0x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 9.2x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 11.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 13.1x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 13.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 12.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 10.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 8.6x | High |
PACK's net debt is about 8.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
PACK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.1 | Oversold |
PACK's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PACK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
PACK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
PACK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.70 | 6.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.75 | 27% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.13 | 33% below |
| 100 week MA | $5.06 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.38 | 36% below |
PACK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 36% below its 200-week average.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
PACK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.19 | $12.2 | +49% |
| 2021 | $12.2 | $35.5 | +191% |
| 2022 | $35.5 | $5.36 | -85% |
| 2023 | $5.36 | $5.82 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $5.82 | $6.95 | +19% |
| 2025 | $6.95 | $5.77 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.77 | $3.46 | -40% |
PACK has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.