LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
ORCL has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ORCL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
ORCL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ORCL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $127 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $119 | -6.8% |
| Current | 20x | $127 | — |
| Fair | 30x | $189 | +49% |
| Expensive | 39x | $247 | +94% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ORCL's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ORCL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ORCL, but weaker profitability.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
ORCL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.53 | +34% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.38 | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.83 | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.57 | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.32 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.32 | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.34 | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.26 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.09 | +13% |
ORCL has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over ORCL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
ORCL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.2B | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.1B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.9B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.1B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.1B | +8.6% |
ORCL's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $19.3B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 32% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +2 points |
ORCL has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
ORCL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$5.4B | -$5B |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.9B | +$1.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.5B | -16275% |
| Q4 2025 | -$10B | -$7.3B |
| Q3 2025 | -$362M | -107% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.9B | -189% |
| Q1 2025 | $71M | -98% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$1.7B |
ORCL has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$28.7B over the past year, against −$5.9B the year before.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ORCL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3% | +86M shares |
| 1 year | +3.1% | +91M shares |
| 3 years | +6.3% | +177M shares |
| 5 years | +4.9% | +139M shares |
| Available history | -9.9% | -331M shares |
ORCL has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $95M |
| Q2 2025 | $150M |
| Q1 2025 | $150M |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
| Q3 2024 | $150M |
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ORCL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
ORCL has more cash than debt.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ORCL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 23.0 | Neutral |
ORCL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ORCL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ORCL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 28% below |
| PE % | 28 | 35 | 7 pts below |
ORCL is trading at 20x earnings, a 28% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
ORCL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $131.1 | 3.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $137.6 | 7.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $160.3 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $181.4 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $151.9 | 16% below |
ORCL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
ORCL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $53.5 | $65.0 | +22% |
| 2021 | $65.0 | $89.7 | +38% |
| 2022 | $89.7 | $80.9 | -9.9% |
| 2023 | $80.9 | $105.4 | +30% |
| 2024 | $105.4 | $169.0 | +60% |
| 2025 | $169.0 | $198.0 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $198.0 | $127.1 | -36% |
ORCL has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.