LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OPLN

OPENLANE, Inc.

64
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

OPLN has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OPLN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Healthy

OPLN's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OPLN PE Valuation

OPLN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OPLN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OPLN, with profitability holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OPLN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OPLN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$45.32
Downside-22%$27.03

Calculated from the latest close: $34.74 on Nov 12.

OPLN trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over OPLN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OPLN Earnings Per Share

Q2 2025: $0.74Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $-1.19Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-0.85Q3 2026: $-0.74Forward: $1.66
Q2 2025: $0.74Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $-1.19Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-0.85Q3 2026: $-0.74Forward: $1.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.66—
Q3 2026-$0.74-185%
Q2 2026-$0.85-215%
Q4 2021$0.12+$0.35
Q3 2021-$0.05-136%
Q2 2021$0.28+56%
Q1 2021$0.00-100%
Q4 2020-$0.23-122%

OPLN has swung to a loss: it lost $0.74 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over OPLN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

OPLN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $391MQ1 2024: $416MQ2 2024: $432MQ3 2024: $448MQ4 2024: $455MQ1 2025: $460MQ2 2025: $482MQ3 2025: $498MQ4 2025: $494MQ1 2026: $528MQ2 2026: $555MQ3 2026: $561M
Q4 2023: $391MQ1 2024: $416MQ2 2024: $432MQ3 2024: $448MQ4 2024: $455MQ1 2025: $460MQ2 2025: $482MQ3 2025: $498MQ4 2025: $494MQ1 2026: $528MQ2 2026: $555MQ3 2026: $561M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$561.2M+13%
Q2 2026$554.6M+15%
Q1 2026$527.9M+15%
Q4 2025$494.3M+8.6%
Q3 2025$498.4M+11%
Q2 2025$481.7M+12%
Q1 2025$460.1M+11%
Q4 2024$455M+16%

OPLN's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $561M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

OPLN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $87MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $87MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83.3M+45%
Q2 2026$39M-32%
Q1 2026$146.5M+32%
Q4 2025$110.8M+493%
Q3 2025$57.6M-47%
Q2 2025$57.4M+134%
Q1 2025$110.7M+27%
Q4 2024$18.7M+117%

OPLN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

OPLN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 109MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 109MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 117MQ3 2026: 125M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 109MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 109MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 117MQ3 2026: 125M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7%+8.2M shares
1 year+16%+17.1M shares
3 years+7.8%+9.1M shares
5 years-3%-3.9M shares
Available history-5.6%-7.5M shares

OPLN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OPLN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

OPLN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

OPLN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.6Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

OPLN's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OPLN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricOPLNSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

OPLN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

OPLN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.24.1% below
20 week MA$36.75.4% below
50 week MA$33.63.3% above
100 week MA$28.522% above
200 week MA$22.257% above

OPLN has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

OPLN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.6$18.2-16%
2021$18.2$15.5-15%
2022$15.5$12.8-18%
2023$12.8$14.8+16%
2024$14.8$20.1+36%
2025$20.1$31.0+54%
2026 YTD$31.0$34.7+12%

OPLN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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