LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ONON

On Holding AG

67
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

ONON has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ONON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ONON's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x348x522x696x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x348x522x696x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current23x$33.07—
Cheap46x$65.70+99%
Fair90x$128+287%
Expensive145x$207+527%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ONON's PE is 23x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ONON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ONON, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ONON, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$45.49
Downside-25%$24.69

Calculated from the latest close: $33.07 on Nov 12.

ONON trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

ONON Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.31Q4 2023: $0.31Q1 2024: $0.48Q2 2024: $0.58Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $0.87Q1 2025: $0.74Q2 2025: $0.48Q3 2025: $0.81Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.91Q2 2026: $1.43
Q3 2023: $0.31Q4 2023: $0.31Q1 2024: $0.48Q2 2024: $0.58Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $0.87Q1 2025: $0.74Q2 2025: $0.48Q3 2025: $0.81Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.91Q2 2026: $1.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.43+198%
Q1 2026$0.91+23%
Q4 2025$0.75-14%
Q3 2025$0.81+76%
Q2 2025$0.48-17%
Q1 2025$0.74+54%
Q4 2024$0.87+181%
Q3 2024$0.46+48%

ONON has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over ONON on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ONON Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $578MQ4 2023: $538MQ1 2024: $612MQ2 2024: $683MQ3 2024: $765MQ4 2024: $730MQ1 2025: $875MQ2 2025: $902MQ3 2025: $956MQ4 2025: $895MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1B
Q3 2023: $578MQ4 2023: $538MQ1 2024: $612MQ2 2024: $683MQ3 2024: $765MQ4 2024: $730MQ1 2025: $875MQ2 2025: $902MQ3 2025: $956MQ4 2025: $895MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1B+13%
Q1 2026$1B+17%
Q4 2025$895.4M+23%
Q3 2025$956.3M+25%
Q2 2025$901.9M+32%
Q1 2025$874.7M+43%
Q4 2024$730.3M+36%
Q3 2024$765.4M+32%

ONON's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $1B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

ONON Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $120MQ4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $87MQ2 2024: $103MQ3 2024: $167MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: −$29MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $96MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $242M
Q3 2023: $120MQ4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $87MQ2 2024: $103MQ3 2024: $167MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: −$29MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $96MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $242M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$241.6M+139%
Q1 2026$7.9M+$37M
Q4 2025$96.4M-46%
Q3 2025$164.7M-1.7%
Q2 2025$100.9M-2.1%
Q1 2025-$29.1M-134%
Q4 2024$179.4M+44%
Q3 2024$167.5M+40%

ONON has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

ONON Total Shares

Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 319MQ1 2024: 327MQ2 2024: 327MQ3 2024: 339MQ4 2024: 339MQ1 2025: 339MQ2 2025: 339MQ3 2025: 334MQ4 2025: 334MQ1 2026: 336MQ2 2026: 336M
Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 319MQ1 2024: 327MQ2 2024: 327MQ3 2024: 339MQ4 2024: 339MQ1 2025: 339MQ2 2025: 339MQ3 2025: 334MQ4 2025: 334MQ1 2026: 336MQ2 2026: 336M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+278K shares
1 year-0.9%-3M shares
3 years+3.9%+12.6M shares
5 years+9.9%+30.2M shares
Available history+30%+76.7M shares

ONON has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ONON Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.0xQ4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
Q3 2023: -1.0xQ4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.4xNet Cash

ONON has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ONON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.3Neutral
Stochastic65.7Neutral

ONON's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricONONSector medianRelative
PE23x18x28% above
PE %15756 pts below

ONON is trading at 23x earnings, a 28% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

ONON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.41% below
20 week MA$33.20.3% below
50 week MA$38.013% below
100 week MA$43.424% below
200 week MA$38.915% below

ONON is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

ONON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$39.0$38.6-0.9%
2022$38.6$16.3-58%
2023$16.3$27.0+66%
2024$27.0$55.6+106%
2025$55.6$46.8-16%
2026 YTD$46.8$33.1-29%

ONON has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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