LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has the edge over ONEW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
ONEW
OneWater Marine Inc.
ONEW has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ONEW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
ONEW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ONEW PE Valuation
ONEW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ONEW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ONEW's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID has the edge over ONEW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ONEW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.12 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$7.46 | -$6.65 |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.50 | -$7.03 |
| Q4 2025 | -$6.74 | -$6.02 |
| Q3 2025 | -$7.08 | -$6.68 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.81 | +$5.84 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.47 | +$5.22 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.72 | +$3.14 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.40 | +$2.36 |
ONEW lost $7.46 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over ONEW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
ONEW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $530.7M | -4% |
| Q1 2026 | $442.3M | -8.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $380.6M | +1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $460.1M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $552.9M | +1.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $483.5M | -1% |
| Q4 2024 | $375.8M | +3.2% |
| Q3 2024 | $377.9M | -16% |
ONEW's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $531M last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.7% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.5% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5% | -2.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | 1.2% | +27 points |
ONEW has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
ONEW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $77.9M | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $50M | +110% |
| Q4 2025 | -$78.4M | -$38M |
| Q3 2025 | $7.2M | -69% |
| Q2 2025 | $88.6M | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.8M | +75% |
| Q4 2024 | -$40.4M | +$75M |
| Q3 2024 | $23M | +$24.2M |
ONEW has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ONEW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2% | +340K shares |
| 1 year | +3.1% | +510K shares |
| 3 years | +16% | +2.3M shares |
| 5 years | +49% | +5.6M shares |
| Available history | +214% | +11.6M shares |
ONEW has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
ONEW hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ONEW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | 11.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 11.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 10.4x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 9.5x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 8.1x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 7.5x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 6.5x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 5.3x | High |
ONEW's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 8.1 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ONEW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.7 | Neutral |
ONEW's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ONEW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ONEW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
ONEW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
ONEW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.62 | 2.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $10.9 | 9.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.1 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $13.3 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $20.0 | 51% below |
ONEW has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
ONEW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.1 | $29.8 | +97% |
| 2021 | $29.8 | $53.2 | +79% |
| 2022 | $53.2 | $28.2 | -47% |
| 2023 | $28.2 | $33.8 | +20% |
| 2024 | $33.8 | $17.7 | -47% |
| 2025 | $17.7 | $10.6 | -41% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.6 | $9.85 | -6.6% |
ONEW has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.