LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over OI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

OI

O-I Glass, Inc.

40
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

OI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

OI's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OI PE Valuation

OI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OI's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$7.12
Downside-31%$3.35

Calculated from the latest close: $4.88 on Nov 12.

OI trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over OI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.67Q1 2024: $-1.51Q2 2024: $-1.84Q3 2024: $-2.68Q4 2024: $-0.69Q1 2025: $-1.24Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-0.92Q4 2025: $-0.84Q1 2026: $-1.22Q2 2026: $-7.52Q3 2026: $-7.79Forward: $0.51
Q4 2023: $-0.67Q1 2024: $-1.51Q2 2024: $-1.84Q3 2024: $-2.68Q4 2024: $-0.69Q1 2025: $-1.24Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-0.92Q4 2025: $-0.84Q1 2026: $-1.22Q2 2026: $-7.52Q3 2026: $-7.79Forward: $0.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.51—
Q3 2026-$7.79-$6.87
Q2 2026-$7.52-$5.89
Q1 2026-$1.22+$0.02
Q4 2025-$0.84-$0.15
Q3 2025-$0.92+$1.76
Q2 2025-$1.63+$0.21
Q1 2025-$1.24+$0.27
Q4 2024-$0.69-$0.02

OI lost $7.79 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over OI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B-1.8%
Q2 2026$1.7B-2.2%
Q1 2026$1.5B-1.7%
Q4 2025$1.5B-1.9%
Q3 2025$1.7B-1.5%
Q2 2025$1.7B-1.3%
Q1 2025$1.6B-1.6%
Q4 2024$1.5B-6.8%

OI's revenue has held roughly level: $1.6B last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

OI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: −$483MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: −$306MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $309MQ1 2026: −$436MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $84M
Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: −$483MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: −$306MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $309MQ1 2026: −$436MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $84M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$84M-26%
Q2 2026-$1M-102%
Q1 2026-$436M-$130M
Q4 2025$309M+47%
Q3 2025$114M+107%
Q2 2025$51M-43%
Q1 2025-$306M+$177M
Q4 2024$210M+33%

OI has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

OI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 157MQ3 2024: 155MQ4 2024: 155MQ1 2025: 154MQ2 2025: 154MQ3 2025: 155MQ4 2025: 154MQ1 2026: 153MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 154M
Q4 2023: 155MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 157MQ3 2024: 155MQ4 2024: 155MQ1 2025: 154MQ2 2025: 154MQ3 2025: 155MQ4 2025: 154MQ1 2026: 153MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+314K shares
1 year-0.9%-1.4M shares
3 years-3.4%-5.5M shares
5 years-4.2%-6.7M shares
Available history-0.9%-1.4M shares

OI has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.3xQ1 2024: 11.2xQ2 2024: 12.6xQ3 2024: 20.8xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 11.0xQ2 2025: 14.9xQ3 2025: 10.9x
Q4 2023: 7.3xQ1 2024: 11.2xQ2 2024: 12.6xQ3 2024: 20.8xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 11.0xQ2 2025: 14.9xQ3 2025: 10.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202510.9xHigh
Q2 202514.9xHigh
Q1 202511.0xHigh
Q4 20248.1xHigh
Q3 202420.8xHigh
Q2 202412.6xHigh
Q1 202411.2xHigh
Q4 20237.3xHigh

OI's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

OI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.8Oversold
Stochastic5.3Oversold

OI's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricOISector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

OI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

OI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.6313% below
20 week MA$6.9029% below
50 week MA$10.051% below
100 week MA$11.357% below
200 week MA$13.965% below

OI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

OI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.9$11.5-3.3%
2021$11.5$11.5+0.3%
2022$11.5$16.9+46%
2023$16.9$16.4-2.9%
2024$16.4$10.3-37%
2025$10.3$14.9+45%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.88-67%

OI has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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