LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has the edge over NVR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
NVR
NVR, Inc.
NVR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NVR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NVR's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $4,445 | -24% |
| Fair | 16x | $5,774 | -0.7% |
| Current | 16x | $5,814 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $5,814 | — |
| Expensive | 19x | $6,711 | +15% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVR's PE is in its fair range at 16x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 17x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NVR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVR's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
NVR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $338.23 | -6.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $362.02 | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $384.90 | -19% |
| Q1 2026 | $409.48 | -16% |
| Q4 2025 | $436.55 | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $454.79 | -7% |
| Q2 2025 | $472.96 | -2.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $485.11 | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $506.69 | +9.4% |
NVR has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over NVR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
NVR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | -7.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | -4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | -4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +17% |
NVR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $2.4B last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -3.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +0.2 points |
NVR has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
NVR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $205.1M | -53% |
| Q2 2026 | -$157.7M | -688% |
| Q1 2026 | $334.8M | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $436M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $433.3M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.8M | -88% |
| Q1 2025 | $200.7M | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $631.5M | +29% |
NVR has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
NVR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -37.3K shares |
| 1 year | -8.9% | -272K shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -679K shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -1.1M shares |
| Available history | -30% | -1.2M shares |
NVR has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $237.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $373.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $632M |
| Q4 2025 | $502.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $276.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $471.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $583.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $564.3M |
NVR spent $1.7B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 7.9% from the year before.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NVR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
NVR has more cash than debt.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
NVR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 46.9 | Neutral |
NVR's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NVR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 11% below |
| PE % | 53 | 47 | 6 pts above |
NVR is trading at 16x earnings, a 11% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
NVR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6,020.7 | 3.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $6,225.5 | 6.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $6,630.8 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $7,113.9 | 18% below |
| 200 week MA | $7,095.2 | 18% below |
NVR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% below its 200-week average.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
NVR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3,816.4 | $4,216.4 | +10% |
| 2021 | $4,216.4 | $5,784.6 | +37% |
| 2022 | $5,784.6 | $4,645.0 | -20% |
| 2023 | $4,645.0 | $7,000.5 | +51% |
| 2024 | $7,000.5 | $8,208.4 | +17% |
| 2025 | $8,208.4 | $7,382.2 | -10% |
| 2026 YTD | $7,382.2 | $5,814.3 | -21% |
NVR has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.