LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over MSC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

MSC

Studio City International Holdings Limited

49
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

MSC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

MSC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSC PE Valuation

MSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSC to show an outlook.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails MSC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$1.88
Downside-47%$0.53

Calculated from the latest close: $1.00 on Nov 12.

MSC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

MSC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-3.58Q4 2023: $-1.92Q1 2024: $-2.00Q2 2024: $-1.68Q3 2024: $-1.52Q4 2024: $-1.98Q1 2025: $-2.01Q2 2025: $-1.41Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-1.24Q1 2026: $-0.85Q2 2026: $-1.09
Q3 2023: $-3.58Q4 2023: $-1.92Q1 2024: $-2.00Q2 2024: $-1.68Q3 2024: $-1.52Q4 2024: $-1.98Q1 2025: $-2.01Q2 2025: $-1.41Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-1.24Q1 2026: $-0.85Q2 2026: $-1.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.09+$0.32
Q1 2026-$0.85+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.24+$0.74
Q3 2025-$1.36+$0.16
Q2 2025-$1.41+$0.27
Q1 2025-$2.01-$0.01
Q4 2024-$1.98-$0.06
Q3 2024-$1.52+$2.06

MSC has the edge over LCID on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over MSC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $165M
Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $165M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$164.6M-13%
Q1 2026$176.7M+9.3%
Q4 2025$160.3M+4.9%
Q3 2025$182.5M+4.5%
Q2 2025$190.1M+18%
Q1 2025$161.7M+7.7%
Q4 2024$152.9M+8.2%
Q3 2024$174.6M+27%

MSC's revenue has held roughly level: $165M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has the edge over MSC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0-100%
Q3 2024$0$0

MSC's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

MSC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 48MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48M
Q3 2023: 48MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+43 shares
3 years0%--
5 years+108%+25M shares
Available history-20%-12.3M shares

MSC has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 44.7xQ4 2023: 13.9xQ1 2024: 10.1xQ2 2024: 8.7xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 8.5xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 7.1xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.5xQ2 2026: 6.6x
Q3 2023: 44.7xQ4 2023: 13.9xQ1 2024: 10.1xQ2 2024: 8.7xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 8.5xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 7.1xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.5xQ2 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20266.5xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q3 20257.1xHigh
Q2 20257.3xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20248.5xHigh
Q3 20248.3xHigh

MSC's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.3 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MSC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.9Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

MSC's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

MSC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.937.5% above
20 week MA$1.4129% below
50 week MA$2.2455% below
100 week MA$3.1268% below
200 week MA$4.8980% below

MSC has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

MSC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.5$13.9-32%
2021$13.9$5.58-60%
2022$5.58$5.30-5%
2023$5.30$6.48+22%
2024$6.48$6.480%
2025$6.48$2.94-55%
2026 YTD$2.94$1.00-66%

MSC has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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