LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over MPAA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MPAA

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.

47
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

MPAA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MPAA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure

MPAA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MPAA PE Valuation

MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MPAA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MPAA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MPAA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MPAA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$11.07
Downside-30%$5.39

Calculated from the latest close: $7.71 on Nov 12.

MPAA trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

MPAA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.49Q1 2024: $-2.51Q2 2024: $-3.36Q3 2024: $-3.41Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-0.99Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.62Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.16Forward: $1.61
Q4 2023: $-2.49Q1 2024: $-2.51Q2 2024: $-3.36Q3 2024: $-3.41Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-0.99Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.62Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.16Forward: $1.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.61โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.16-233%
Q2 2026-$0.24-400%
Q1 2026$0.62+$1.61
Q4 2025$0.10+$1.00
Q3 2025$0.12+$3.53
Q2 2025$0.08+$3.44
Q1 2025-$0.99+$1.52
Q4 2024-$0.90+$1.59

MPAA has the edge over LCID on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over MPAA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MPAA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $170MQ3 2024: $208MQ4 2024: $186MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $221MQ4 2025: $168MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $168MQ3 2026: $169M
Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $170MQ3 2024: $208MQ4 2024: $186MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $221MQ4 2025: $168MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $168MQ3 2026: $169M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$169.2M-24%
Q2 2026$168M-11%
Q1 2026$212.3M+9.9%
Q4 2025$167.7M-9.9%
Q3 2025$221.5M+6.4%
Q2 2025$188.4M+11%
Q1 2025$193.1M+1.9%
Q4 2024$186.2M+8.3%

MPAA's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $169M last quarter, down 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$747MQ1 2024: โˆ’$715MQ2 2024: โˆ’$741MQ3 2024: โˆ’$622MQ4 2024: โˆ’$825MQ1 2025: โˆ’$590MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1BQ3 2025: โˆ’$955MQ4 2025: โˆ’$1.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$1.4BQ2 2026: โˆ’$1.5BQ3 2026: โˆ’$1B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$747MQ1 2024: โˆ’$715MQ2 2024: โˆ’$741MQ3 2024: โˆ’$622MQ4 2024: โˆ’$825MQ1 2025: โˆ’$590MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1BQ3 2025: โˆ’$955MQ4 2025: โˆ’$1.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$1.4BQ2 2026: โˆ’$1.5BQ3 2026: โˆ’$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$5.2B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.4B the year before.

MPAA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: โˆ’$10MQ2 2024: โˆ’$21MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: โˆ’$9MQ1 2026: โˆ’$6MQ2 2026: โˆ’$12MQ3 2026: โˆ’$5M
Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: โˆ’$10MQ2 2024: โˆ’$21MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: โˆ’$9MQ1 2026: โˆ’$6MQ2 2026: โˆ’$12MQ3 2026: โˆ’$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.8M-123%
Q2 2026-$12.4M-235%
Q1 2026-$6M-195%
Q4 2025-$8.6M-126%
Q3 2025$20.8M-6.5%
Q2 2025$9.2M+$30.6M
Q1 2025$6.2M+$16.1M
Q4 2024$33.7M-37%

MPAA has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

MPAA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+19%+3.6M shares
1 year+16%+3.1M shares
3 years+15%+2.9M shares
5 years+15%+2.9M shares
Available history+16%+3.2M shares

MPAA has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MPAA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20243.0xElevated
Q2 20243.5xElevated
Q1 20242.0xModerate
Q4 20231.5xHealthy
Q3 20232.5xModerate
Q2 20233.1xElevated
Q1 20232.8xModerate
Q1 20203.9xElevated

MPAA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MPAA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.6Oversold
Stochastic11.6Oversold

MPAA's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MPAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMPAASector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

MPAA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.124% below
20 week MA$11.734% below
50 week MA$11.935% below
100 week MA$11.634% below
200 week MA$9.6520% below

MPAA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

MPAA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.9$19.9-9.2%
2021$19.9$16.7-16%
2022$16.7$11.3-32%
2023$11.3$9.34-17%
2024$9.34$8.05-14%
2025$8.05$12.5+55%
2026 YTD$12.5$7.71-38%

MPAA has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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