LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MLCO

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

MLCO has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MLCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Stable
Weak

MLCO's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MLCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7x$4.18—
Cheap9.5x$5.68+36%
Fair30x$17.78+325%
Expensive50x$30.05+619%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MLCO's PE is in its cheap range at 7.0x.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MLCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MLCO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails MLCO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MLCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$6.52
Downside-19%$3.40

Calculated from the latest close: $4.18 on Nov 12.

MLCO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

MLCO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.98Q4 2023: $-0.74Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.37Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.46Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.60
Q3 2023: $-0.98Q4 2023: $-0.74Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.37Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.46Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.60+362%
Q1 2026$0.58+314%
Q4 2025$0.46+360%
Q3 2025$0.26+$0.53
Q2 2025$0.13+$0.50
Q1 2025$0.14+$0.62
Q4 2024$0.10+$0.84
Q3 2024-$0.27+$0.71

MLCO has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over MLCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MLCO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.3B
Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.3B-5.6%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B+8.6%
Q3 2025$1.3B+11%
Q2 2025$1.3B+15%
Q1 2025$1.2B+11%
Q4 2024$1.2B+8.9%
Q3 2024$1.2B+16%

MLCO's revenue is growing: $1.3B last quarter, down 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has the edge over MLCO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MLCO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

MLCO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

MLCO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 437MQ4 2023: 437MQ1 2024: 440MQ2 2024: 441MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 420MQ1 2025: 418MQ2 2025: 418MQ3 2025: 395MQ4 2025: 395MQ1 2026: 393MQ2 2026: 389M
Q3 2023: 437MQ4 2023: 437MQ1 2024: 440MQ2 2024: 441MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 420MQ1 2025: 418MQ2 2025: 418MQ3 2025: 395MQ4 2025: 395MQ1 2026: 393MQ2 2026: 389M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-4.8M shares
1 year-6.9%-29M shares
3 years-11%-48.1M shares
5 years-19%-90.6M shares
Available history-19%-92.4M shares

MLCO has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MLCO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 13.6xQ4 2023: 10.4xQ1 2024: 8.5xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 7.5xQ4 2024: 6.3xQ1 2025: 6.2xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 5.4x
Q3 2023: 13.6xQ4 2023: 10.4xQ1 2024: 8.5xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 7.5xQ4 2024: 6.3xQ1 2025: 6.2xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20265.4xHigh
Q1 20265.0xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20256.1xHigh
Q1 20256.2xHigh
Q4 20246.3xHigh
Q3 20247.5xHigh

MLCO's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MLCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic25.9Neutral

MLCO's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MLCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMLCOSector medianRelative
PE7x18x61% below
PE %24745 pts below

MLCO is trading at 7.0x earnings, a 61% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

MLCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.210.7% below
20 week MA$4.9015% below
50 week MA$5.6426% below
100 week MA$6.3834% below
200 week MA$7.7446% below

MLCO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

MLCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.4$18.6-24%
2021$18.6$10.4-44%
2022$10.4$11.2+7%
2023$11.2$8.87-21%
2024$8.87$5.88-34%
2025$5.88$8.01+36%
2026 YTD$8.01$4.18-48%

MLCO has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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