LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MGM
MGM Resorts International
MGM has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MGM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
MGM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MGM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.2x | $21.76 | -35% |
| Current | 13x | $33.24 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $36.28 | +9.2% |
| Forward | 25x | $33.24 | — |
| Expensive | 34x | $88.90 | +167% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MGM's PE is in its fair range at 13x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 25x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MGM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect MGM's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
MGM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.35 | -49% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.64 | +1550% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.66 | -8.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.73 | -67% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.76 | -68% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.16 | -94% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.82 | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.24 | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.40 | -25% |
MGM has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over MGM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
MGM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | -0.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.5B | +4.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.6B | +6% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.3B | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.3B | -2.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B | -0.7% |
MGM's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.8% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.8% | -2.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -2.7% | -10 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.2% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.7% | -2.9 points |
MGM has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
MGM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $310.8M | -23% |
| Q2 2026 | $317.4M | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $413.1M | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $358.5M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $405.4M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $377.4M | +60% |
| Q1 2025 | $319M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $267.5M | -31% |
MGM has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MGM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.2% | -5.8M shares |
| 1 year | -7.5% | -20.6M shares |
| 3 years | -28% | -99.4M shares |
| 5 years | -48% | -232M shares |
| Available history | -52% | -276M shares |
MGM has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $173.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $88.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $511.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $12,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $227.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $489.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $119.8M |
MGM spent $774M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 7.6% from the year before.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MGM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
MGM's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MGM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.4 | Neutral |
MGM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MGM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MGM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 18x | 30% below |
| PE % | 36 | 47 | 11 pts below |
MGM is trading at 13x earnings, a 30% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
MGM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $30.6 | 8.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $38.4 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $38.4 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.1 | 7.9% below |
| 200 week MA | $38.8 | 14% below |
MGM has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
MGM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.6 | $30.7 | -8.5% |
| 2021 | $30.7 | $45.7 | +49% |
| 2022 | $45.7 | $33.8 | -26% |
| 2023 | $33.8 | $44.7 | +32% |
| 2024 | $44.7 | $34.8 | -22% |
| 2025 | $34.8 | $37.7 | +8.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.7 | $33.2 | -12% |
MGM has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.