LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MGA

Magna International Inc.

55
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MGA has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MGA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

MGA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MGA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.3x$62.37—
Cheap10x$27.49-56%
Fair15x$39.61-36%
Current23x$62.37—
Expensive27x$72.35+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MGA's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MGA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MGA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails MGA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MGA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$79.49
Downside-12%$54.83

Calculated from the latest close: $62.37 on Nov 12.

MGA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

MGA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.61Q4 2023: $4.22Q1 2024: $3.52Q2 2024: $3.43Q3 2024: $3.74Q4 2024: $3.51Q1 2025: $4.00Q2 2025: $4.26Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $2.95Q1 2026: $2.38Q2 2026: $2.70Forward: $7.53
Q3 2023: $3.61Q4 2023: $4.22Q1 2024: $3.52Q2 2024: $3.43Q3 2024: $3.74Q4 2024: $3.51Q1 2025: $4.00Q2 2025: $4.26Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $2.95Q1 2026: $2.38Q2 2026: $2.70Forward: $7.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.53+179%
Q2 2026$2.70-37%
Q1 2026$2.38-41%
Q4 2025$2.95-16%
Q3 2025$3.66-2.1%
Q2 2025$4.26+24%
Q1 2025$4.00+14%
Q4 2024$3.51-17%
Q3 2024$3.74+3.6%

MGA has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over MGA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MGA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $10.7BQ4 2023: $10.5BQ1 2024: $11BQ2 2024: $11BQ3 2024: $10.3BQ4 2024: $10.6BQ1 2025: $10.1BQ2 2025: $10.6BQ3 2025: $10.5BQ4 2025: $11BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $10.7B
Q3 2023: $10.7BQ4 2023: $10.5BQ1 2024: $11BQ2 2024: $11BQ3 2024: $10.3BQ4 2024: $10.6BQ1 2025: $10.1BQ2 2025: $10.6BQ3 2025: $10.5BQ4 2025: $11BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $10.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$10.7B+0.7%
Q1 2026$10.2B+1.7%
Q4 2025$11B+3.6%
Q3 2025$10.5B+1.8%
Q2 2025$10.6B-3%
Q1 2025$10.1B-8.2%
Q4 2024$10.6B+1.7%
Q3 2024$10.3B-3.8%

MGA's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $10.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

MGA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $144MQ4 2023: $634MQ1 2024: −$232MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: $251MQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: −$191MQ2 2025: $381MQ3 2025: $645MQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $458MQ2 2026: $654M
Q3 2023: $144MQ4 2023: $634MQ1 2024: −$232MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: $251MQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: −$191MQ2 2025: $381MQ3 2025: $645MQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $458MQ2 2026: $654M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$654M+72%
Q1 2026$458M+$649M
Q4 2025$1.5B+21%
Q3 2025$645M+157%
Q2 2025$381M+61%
Q1 2025-$191M+$41M
Q4 2024$1.2B+89%
Q3 2024$251M+74%

MGA has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

MGA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 287MQ4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 287MQ2 2024: 287MQ3 2024: 287MQ4 2024: 286MQ1 2025: 282MQ2 2025: 282MQ3 2025: 282MQ4 2025: 281MQ1 2026: 278MQ2 2026: 273M
Q3 2023: 287MQ4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 287MQ2 2024: 287MQ3 2024: 287MQ4 2024: 286MQ1 2025: 282MQ2 2025: 282MQ3 2025: 282MQ4 2025: 281MQ1 2026: 278MQ2 2026: 273M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-4.9M shares
1 year-3%-8.5M shares
3 years-4.6%-13.1M shares
5 years-10%-30.4M shares
Available history-12%-37.5M shares

MGA has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MGA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.0xQ4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.5x
Q3 2023: 2.0xQ4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy
Q3 20241.9xHealthy

MGA's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MGA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.9Neutral
Stochastic10.9Oversold

MGA's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MGA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMGASector medianRelative
PE23x18x28% above
PE %704723 pts above

MGA is trading at 23x earnings, a 28% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

MGA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.02.5% below
20 week MA$65.95.3% below
50 week MA$61.61.2% above
100 week MA$51.222% above
200 week MA$51.222% above

MGA has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

MGA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.3$70.6+28%
2021$70.6$79.5+13%
2022$79.5$55.5-30%
2023$55.5$59.1+6.5%
2024$59.1$42.2-29%
2025$42.2$54.0+28%
2026 YTD$54.0$62.4+16%

MGA has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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