LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.
MCRI has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MCRI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
MCRI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MCRI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $99.43 | -10% |
| Forward | 16x | $111 | — |
| Current | 18x | $111 | — |
| Fair | 19x | $122 | +10% |
| Expensive | 28x | $176 | +58% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MCRI's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MCRI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MCRI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
MCRI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.99 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.31 | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.24 | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.90 | +49% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.43 | +41% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.43 | -2% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.21 | -1.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.96 | -6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.84 | -8.6% |
MCRI has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over MCRI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
MCRI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $146.3M | +2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $142.6M | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $136.6M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $140M | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $142.8M | +3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $136.9M | +6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $125.4M | +3.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $134.5M | +4.9% |
MCRI's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $146M last quarter, up 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 28% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 27% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 26% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +18 points |
| Q3 2025 | 27% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -17 points |
MCRI has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
MCRI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $41.9M | -22% |
| Q2 2026 | $25.6M | -1.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $43M | +158% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.2M | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $53.5M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $26M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $16.6M | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $26.2M | +20% |
MCRI has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MCRI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -113K shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -588K shares |
| 3 years | -7.4% | -1.5M shares |
| 5 years | -6.6% | -1.3M shares |
| Available history | -2.9% | -536K shares |
MCRI has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $212,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $17.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $41.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $11.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $63,000 |
| Q3 2024 | $9.7M |
MCRI spent $97M buying back its own shares over the past year.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MCRI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
MCRI has more cash than debt.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MCRI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.8 | Oversold |
MCRI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MCRI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MCRI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 2.6% below |
| PE % | 33 | 47 | 14 pts below |
MCRI is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
MCRI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $113.3 | 2.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $119.4 | 7.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $110.6 | 0.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $100.0 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $85.4 | 30% above |
MCRI has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
MCRI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $48.1 | $59.5 | +24% |
| 2021 | $59.5 | $73.5 | +24% |
| 2022 | $73.5 | $77.0 | +4.7% |
| 2023 | $77.0 | $69.2 | -10% |
| 2024 | $69.2 | $78.1 | +13% |
| 2025 | $78.1 | $98.3 | +26% |
| 2026 YTD | $98.3 | $110.8 | +13% |
MCRI has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.