LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over MCFT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

MCFT

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.

47
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation7/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential72/ 100

MCFT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MCFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Strong

MCFT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$1.21-94%
Fair9.3x$1.67-92%
Expensive24x$4.36-80%
Current120x$21.59—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCFT's PE is in its expensive range at 120x.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MCFT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MCFT to show an outlook.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MCFT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MCFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$22.90
Downside-72%$6.14

Calculated from the latest close: $21.59 on Nov 12.

MCFT trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

MCFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $0.18
Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.18-81%
Q2 2026-$0.10-123%
Q1 2026$0.68+$1.05
Q4 2025$0.96+$1.34
Q3 2025$0.97+$1.18
Q2 2025$0.44-4.3%
Q1 2025-$0.37-117%
Q4 2024-$0.38-112%

MCFT has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over MCFT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $130MQ4 2026: $154M
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $130MQ4 2026: $154M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$154.1M+123%
Q2 2026$129.9M+63%
Q1 2026$78.2M+3%
Q4 2025$71.8M+13%
Q3 2025$69M+5.6%
Q2 2025$79.5M+18%
Q1 2025$76M-21%
Q4 2024$63.4M-36%

MCFT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $154M last quarter, up 123% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

MCFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: −$877,000Q2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $15MQ4 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: −$877,000Q2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $15MQ4 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M+$12.8M
Q2 2026$14.6M-18%
Q1 2026$3.8M-13%
Q4 2025$14M+245%
Q3 2025-$9.9M-5083%
Q2 2025$17.9M+$31.4M
Q1 2025$4.3M+$5.2M
Q4 2024$4M-83%

MCFT has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has the edge over MCFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MCFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+51%+8.2M shares
1 year+48%+7.9M shares
3 years+39%+6.8M shares
5 years+28%+5.3M shares
Available history+30%+5.5M shares

MCFT has 24M diluted shares, up 48% from a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MCFT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: -10.1xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.5xQ4 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: -10.1xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.5xQ4 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.1xNet Cash

MCFT has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MCFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic32.4Neutral

MCFT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCFT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMCFTSector medianRelative
PE120x18x565% above
PE %1004753 pts above

MCFT is trading at 120x earnings, a 565% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

MCFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.46.1% above
20 week MA$22.33.2% below
50 week MA$22.12.4% below
100 week MA$20.55.2% above
200 week MA$22.01.8% below

MCFT has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

MCFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.4$26.7+73%
2021$26.7$26.3-1.6%
2022$26.3$26.2-0.3%
2023$26.2$22.6-14%
2024$22.6$18.7-17%
2025$18.7$19.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$19.5$21.6+11%

MCFT has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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