LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has the edge over MBUU overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MBUU
Malibu Boats, Inc.
MBUU has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MBUU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
MBUU's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MBUU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.8x | $20.35 | — |
| Cheap | 7.4x | $3.16 | -84% |
| Fair | 13x | $5.52 | -73% |
| Expensive | 26x | $11.27 | -45% |
| Current | 47x | $20.35 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MBUU's PE is in its expensive range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.8x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MBUU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MBUU, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
MBUU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.01 | +600% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.43 | -56% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.09 | -88% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.07 | +$0.33 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.72 | +$5.06 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.97 | +$4.94 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.76 | +$3.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.40 | +$2.27 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.34 | -239% |
MBUU has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over MBUU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
MBUU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $252.9M | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $295.5M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $235.7M | +3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $188.6M | -5.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $194.7M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $207M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $228.7M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $200.3M | -5.1% |
MBUU's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $253M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.2% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8% | -8.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3% | +19 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6% | -5.4 points |
MBUU has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
MBUU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$39.5M | -1871% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.9M | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | +77% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M | -64% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | +$19.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1M | +214% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.8M | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.8M | -56% |
MBUU has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MBUU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +596K shares |
| 1 year | +3.1% | +604K shares |
| 3 years | -3.6% | -744K shares |
| 5 years | -5.6% | -1.2M shares |
| Available history | -3.7% | -761K shares |
MBUU has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $13.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $20.8M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $5.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $10.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.7M |
| Q3 2024 | $10.5M |
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MBUU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
MBUU's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MBUU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.6 | Oversold |
MBUU's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MBUU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MBUU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47x | 18x | 163% above |
| PE % | 96 | 47 | 49 pts above |
MBUU is trading at 47x earnings, a 163% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
MBUU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $22.2 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $25.2 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $27.1 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $29.7 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $38.4 | 47% below |
MBUU is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
MBUU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $67.0 | +64% |
| 2021 | $67.0 | $66.6 | -0.7% |
| 2022 | $66.6 | $53.9 | -19% |
| 2023 | $53.9 | $54.8 | +1.7% |
| 2024 | $54.8 | $36.6 | -33% |
| 2025 | $36.6 | $29.3 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.3 | $20.4 | -31% |
MBUU has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.