LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LVS

Las Vegas Sands Corp.

56
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

LVS has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LVS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

LVS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LVS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE220x440x660x880x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE220x440x660x880x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$39.33—
Current16x$39.33—
Cheap17x$40.68+3.4%
Fair23x$55.10+40%
Expensive32x$78.82+100%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LVS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LVS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LVS's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LVS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LVS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$47.93
Downside-21%$31.01

Calculated from the latest close: $39.33 on Nov 12.

LVS trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

LVS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.60Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $2.14Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.97Q1 2025: $1.80Q2 2025: $1.98Q3 2025: $2.21Q4 2025: $2.34Q1 2026: $2.70Q2 2026: $2.57Q3 2026: $2.44Forward: $2.87
Q4 2023: $1.60Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $2.14Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.97Q1 2025: $1.80Q2 2025: $1.98Q3 2025: $2.21Q4 2025: $2.34Q1 2026: $2.70Q2 2026: $2.57Q3 2026: $2.44Forward: $2.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.87+18%
Q3 2026$2.44+10%
Q2 2026$2.57+30%
Q1 2026$2.70+50%
Q4 2025$2.34+19%
Q3 2025$2.21+9.4%
Q2 2025$1.98-7.5%
Q1 2025$1.80-13%
Q4 2024$1.97+23%

LVS has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over LVS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LVS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B-3.5%
Q2 2026$3.2B-0.7%
Q1 2026$3.6B+25%
Q4 2025$3.6B+26%
Q3 2025$3.3B+24%
Q2 2025$3.2B+15%
Q1 2025$2.9B-3.3%
Q4 2024$2.9B-0.7%

LVS's revenue is growing: $3.2B last quarter, down 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

LVS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $681MQ1 2024: $518MQ2 2024: $529MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: −$108MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $930MQ1 2026: $537MQ2 2026: $350MQ3 2026: $589M
Q4 2023: $681MQ1 2024: $518MQ2 2024: $529MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: −$108MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $930MQ1 2026: $537MQ2 2026: $350MQ3 2026: $589M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$589M-34%
Q2 2026$350M+$458M
Q1 2026$537M+265%
Q4 2025$930M+153%
Q3 2025$886M+299%
Q2 2025-$108M-120%
Q1 2025$147M-72%
Q4 2024$368M-46%

LVS has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

LVS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 765MQ1 2024: 752MQ2 2024: 741MQ3 2024: 731MQ4 2024: 737MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 696MQ3 2025: 685MQ4 2025: 693MQ1 2026: 671MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 640M
Q4 2023: 765MQ1 2024: 752MQ2 2024: 741MQ3 2024: 731MQ4 2024: 737MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 696MQ3 2025: 685MQ4 2025: 693MQ1 2026: 671MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 640M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-16M shares
1 year-6.6%-45M shares
3 years-16%-126M shares
5 years-16%-124M shares
Available history-17%-131M shares

LVS has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LVS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.0xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

LVS's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LVS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.3Neutral
Stochastic29.3Neutral

LVS's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LVS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLVSSector medianRelative
PE16x18x11% below
PE %124735 pts below

LVS is trading at 16x earnings, a 11% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

LVS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.84.2% above
20 week MA$42.47.2% below
50 week MA$50.522% below
100 week MA$49.220% below
200 week MA$50.021% below

LVS has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

LVS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.7$57.0-18%
2021$57.0$38.6-32%
2022$38.6$46.5+21%
2023$46.5$49.2+5.8%
2024$49.2$51.9+5.4%
2025$51.9$66.2+28%
2026 YTD$66.2$39.3-41%

LVS has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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