LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LTH

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

73
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LTH has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Healthy

LTH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$41.05-9.9%
Current25x$45.54—
Forward26x$45.54—
Fair35x$65.25+43%
Expensive46x$85.57+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LTH's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 26x.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LTH, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails LTH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$59.79
Downside-15%$38.56

Calculated from the latest close: $45.54 on Nov 12.

LTH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

LTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.35Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.96Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $1.28Q4 2025: $1.66Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $1.76
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.35Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.96Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $1.28Q4 2025: $1.66Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $1.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.76-4.6%
Q3 2026$1.85+45%
Q2 2026$1.84+80%
Q1 2026$1.71+78%
Q4 2025$1.66+124%
Q3 2025$1.28+88%
Q2 2025$1.02+92%
Q1 2025$0.96+174%
Q4 2024$0.74+100%

LTH has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over LTH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $559MQ1 2024: $597MQ2 2024: $668MQ3 2024: $693MQ4 2024: $663MQ1 2025: $706MQ2 2025: $761MQ3 2025: $783MQ4 2025: $745MQ1 2026: $789MQ2 2026: $866MQ3 2026: $894M
Q4 2023: $559MQ1 2024: $597MQ2 2024: $668MQ3 2024: $693MQ4 2024: $663MQ1 2025: $706MQ2 2025: $761MQ3 2025: $783MQ4 2025: $745MQ1 2026: $789MQ2 2026: $866MQ3 2026: $894M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$893.5M+14%
Q2 2026$866M+14%
Q1 2026$788.7M+12%
Q4 2025$745.1M+12%
Q3 2025$782.6M+13%
Q2 2025$761.5M+14%
Q1 2025$706M+18%
Q4 2024$663.3M+19%

LTH's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $894M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

LTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$66MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: −$65MQ1 2026: −$61MQ2 2026: −$54MQ3 2026: −$27M
Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$66MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: −$65MQ1 2026: −$61MQ2 2026: −$54MQ3 2026: −$27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$26.6M-193%
Q2 2026-$53.7M-$27.4M
Q1 2026-$61.2M-248%
Q4 2025-$64.6M-341%
Q3 2025$28.6M-55%
Q2 2025-$26.3M-201%
Q1 2025$41.4M+$107.8M
Q4 2024$26.8M+$62.9M

LTH has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

LTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 204MQ1 2024: 203MQ2 2024: 206MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 211MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 226MQ4 2025: 225MQ1 2026: 227MQ2 2026: 227MQ3 2026: 229M
Q4 2023: 204MQ1 2024: 203MQ2 2024: 206MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 211MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 226MQ4 2025: 225MQ1 2026: 227MQ2 2026: 227MQ3 2026: 229M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+1.7M shares
1 year+1.3%+3M shares
3 years+12%+24.8M shares
5 years+58%+83.9M shares
Available history+58%+84.1M shares

LTH has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

LTH's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.8 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.6Neutral
Stochastic80.6Overbought

LTH's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LTH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLTHSector medianRelative
PE25x18x37% above
PE %285628 pts below

LTH is trading at 25x earnings, a 37% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

LTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.76.6% above
20 week MA$42.96.3% above
50 week MA$34.731% above
100 week MA$31.545% above
200 week MA$24.884% above

LTH has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

LTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$17.2$18.1+5.1%
2022$18.1$12.1-33%
2023$12.1$15.1+24%
2024$15.1$21.9+45%
2025$21.9$26.8+22%
2026 YTD$26.8$45.5+70%

LTH has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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