LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LQDT

Liquidity Services, Inc.

62
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

LQDT has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LQDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

LQDT's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LQDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$11.99-73%
Forward25x$45.15—
Fair31x$31.35-31%
Expensive42x$42.96-4.9%
Current44x$45.15—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LQDT's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LQDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LQDT, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LQDT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LQDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$58.17
Downside-17%$37.34

Calculated from the latest close: $45.15 on Nov 12.

LQDT trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

LQDT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.65Q4 2023: $0.59Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.62Q3 2024: $0.63Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $0.79Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $0.92Q1 2026: $0.93Q2 2026: $1.02Forward: $1.81
Q3 2023: $0.65Q4 2023: $0.59Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.62Q3 2024: $0.63Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $0.79Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $0.92Q1 2026: $0.93Q2 2026: $1.02Forward: $1.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.81+77%
Q2 2026$1.02+23%
Q1 2026$0.93+18%
Q4 2025$0.92+23%
Q3 2025$0.87+38%
Q2 2025$0.83+34%
Q1 2025$0.79+23%
Q4 2024$0.75+27%
Q3 2024$0.63-3.1%

LQDT has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over LQDT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LQDT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $130M
Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $130M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$129.6M+8.1%
Q1 2026$120.7M+3.7%
Q4 2025$121.2M-0.9%
Q3 2025$118.1M+10%
Q2 2025$119.9M+28%
Q1 2025$116.4M+27%
Q4 2024$122.3M+72%
Q3 2024$106.9M+34%

LQDT's revenue is growing: $130M last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

LQDT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $29M
Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$29.4M+71%
Q1 2026$27.4M+39%
Q4 2025-$2.8M+$11.2M
Q3 2025$36M+88%
Q2 2025$17.2M-15%
Q1 2025$19.8M-39%
Q4 2024-$14M-$3.4M
Q3 2024$19.2M+45%

LQDT has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

LQDT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 33M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+367K shares
1 year+1.1%+354K shares
3 years+4.2%+1.3M shares
5 years-7.3%-2.6M shares
Available history-1.3%-440K shares

LQDT has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LQDT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -3.0xQ4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -3.2xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -3.7xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.6xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: -4.0x
Q3 2023: -3.0xQ4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -3.2xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -3.7xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.6xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: -4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.3xNet Cash

LQDT has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LQDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.0Neutral
Stochastic74.7Neutral

LQDT's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LQDT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLQDTSector medianRelative
PE44x18x146% above
PE %884741 pts above

LQDT is trading at 44x earnings, a 146% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

LQDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.02.6% above
20 week MA$42.27.1% above
50 week MA$36.623% above
100 week MA$32.340% above
200 week MA$25.378% above

LQDT has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

LQDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.85$16.7+186%
2021$16.7$21.5+29%
2022$21.5$14.0-35%
2023$14.0$17.2+23%
2024$17.2$32.1+86%
2025$32.1$31.2-2.9%
2026 YTD$31.2$45.2+45%

LQDT has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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