LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LEA

Lear Corporation

64
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

LEA has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LEA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

LEA's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LEA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x99x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x99x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.8x$109—
Current9.5x$109—
Cheap11x$121+12%
Fair14x$164+51%
Expensive38x$434+300%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LEA's PE is in its cheap range at 9.5x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.8x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LEA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect LEA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails LEA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LEA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$136.43
Downside-13%$94.34

Calculated from the latest close: $108.57 on Nov 12.

LEA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

LEA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.68Q1 2024: $9.17Q2 2024: $9.35Q3 2024: $9.51Q4 2024: $8.97Q1 2025: $8.56Q2 2025: $8.60Q3 2025: $8.21Q4 2025: $8.15Q2 2026: $10.00Q3 2026: $10.73Q4 2026: $11.45Forward: $15.95
Q4 2023: $9.68Q1 2024: $9.17Q2 2024: $9.35Q3 2024: $9.51Q4 2024: $8.97Q1 2025: $8.56Q2 2025: $8.60Q3 2025: $8.21Q4 2025: $8.15Q2 2026: $10.00Q3 2026: $10.73Q4 2026: $11.45Forward: $15.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.95+39%
Q3 2026$11.45+39%
Q2 2026$10.73+25%
Q1 2026$10.00+17%
Q4 2025$8.15-9.1%
Q3 2025$8.21-14%
Q2 2025$8.60-8%
Q1 2025$8.56-6.7%
Q4 2024$8.97-7.3%

LEA has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over LEA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LEA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.6BQ2 2025: $6BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $6BQ2 2026: $5.8BQ3 2026: $6.2BQ4 2026: $5.8B
Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.6BQ2 2025: $6BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $6BQ2 2026: $5.8BQ3 2026: $6.2BQ4 2026: $5.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.8B+1.6%
Q2 2026$6.2B+3%
Q1 2026$5.8B+4.7%
Q4 2025$6B+4.8%
Q3 2025$5.7B+1.7%
Q2 2025$6B+0.3%
Q1 2025$5.6B-7.2%
Q4 2024$5.7B-2.2%

LEA's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $5.8B last quarter, up 1.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

LEA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $377MQ1 2024: −$148MQ2 2024: $170MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $489MQ1 2025: −$232MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $281MQ2 2026: −$27MQ3 2026: $288MQ4 2026: $158M
Q4 2023: $377MQ1 2024: −$148MQ2 2024: $170MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $489MQ1 2025: −$232MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $281MQ2 2026: −$27MQ3 2026: $288MQ4 2026: $158M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$158.4M-48%
Q2 2026$287.8M+69%
Q1 2026-$26.5M+$205.2M
Q4 2025$281.1M-42%
Q3 2025$307M+508%
Q2 2025$170.8M+0.2%
Q1 2025-$231.7M-$83.5M
Q4 2024$488.7M+30%

LEA has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

LEA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51MQ4 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51MQ4 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-968K shares
1 year-7.1%-3.8M shares
3 years-16%-9.2M shares
5 years-17%-10.1M shares
Available history-19%-12.1M shares

LEA has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LEA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2xQ4 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2xQ4 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

LEA's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LEA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

LEA's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LEA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLEASector medianRelative
PE9.5x18x47% below
PE %54742 pts below

LEA is trading at 9.5x earnings, a 47% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

LEA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$117.07.2% below
20 week MA$125.313% below
50 week MA$126.414% below
100 week MA$111.62.7% below
200 week MA$120.29.7% below

LEA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.7% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

LEA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$138.5$159.9+15%
2021$159.9$180.0+13%
2022$180.0$121.9-32%
2023$121.9$141.2+16%
2024$141.2$95.4-32%
2025$95.4$116.9+23%
2026 YTD$116.9$108.6-7.1%

LEA has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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