KTB

Kontoor Brands, Inc.

56
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

KTB has a slight edge over NIO overall on the model score.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

KTB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong
Stable

KTB's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KTB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x143x214x285x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x143x214x285x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$40.20-48%
Fair16x$57.23-26%
Expensive20x$72.73-6.5%
Current22x$77.76—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KTB's PE is in its expensive range at 22x.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KTB Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for KTB to show an outlook.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

KTB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$95.98
Downside-29%$55.00

Calculated from the latest close: $77.76 on Nov 12.

KTB trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KTB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

KTB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.06Q1 2024: $3.95Q2 2024: $4.23Q3 2024: $4.44Q4 2024: $4.36Q1 2025: $4.07Q2 2025: $4.47Q3 2025: $3.87Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.94Q3 2026: $4.79Q4 2026: $3.59
Q4 2023: $4.06Q1 2024: $3.95Q2 2024: $4.23Q3 2024: $4.44Q4 2024: $4.36Q1 2025: $4.07Q2 2025: $4.47Q3 2025: $3.87Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.94Q3 2026: $4.79Q4 2026: $3.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.59-7.2%
Q2 2026$4.79+7.2%
Q1 2026$4.94+21%
Q4 2025$4.05-7.1%
Q3 2025$3.87-13%
Q2 2025$4.47+5.7%
Q1 2025$4.07+3%
Q4 2024$4.36+7.4%

KTB has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

KTB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $670MQ1 2024: $631MQ2 2024: $607MQ3 2024: $670MQ4 2024: $699MQ1 2025: $623MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $853MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $613MQ3 2026: $584MQ4 2026: $685M
Q4 2023: $670MQ1 2024: $631MQ2 2024: $607MQ3 2024: $670MQ4 2024: $699MQ1 2025: $623MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $853MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $613MQ3 2026: $584MQ4 2026: $685M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$685.3M-20%
Q2 2026$584.3M-11%
Q1 2026$613.3M-1.5%
Q4 2025$1B+46%
Q3 2025$853.2M+27%
Q2 2025$658.3M+8.5%
Q1 2025$622.9M-1.3%
Q4 2024$699.3M+4.4%

KTB's revenue has held roughly level: $685M last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over KTB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KTB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $203MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $93MQ3 2024: $130MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $45MQ4 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $203MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $93MQ3 2024: $130MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $45MQ4 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$47.3M-15%
Q2 2026$45.4M+103%
Q1 2026$40.3M-46%
Q4 2025$281.8M+276%
Q3 2025$55.8M-57%
Q2 2025$22.4M-76%
Q1 2025$74.9M+44%
Q4 2024$75M-63%

KTB generated $415M in free cash flow over the past year, up 82% from the year before.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over KTB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KTB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55MQ4 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55MQ4 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-864K shares
1 year-2.6%-1.4M shares
3 years-4.1%-2.3M shares
5 years-7.8%-4.7M shares
Available history-4.5%-2.6M shares

KTB has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

KTB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.6xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.6xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20253.6xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

KTB's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.6 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KTB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.6Neutral
Stochastic56.5Neutral

KTB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

KTB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricKTBSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %854738 pts above

KTB is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KTB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.88.4% above
20 week MA$76.32% above
50 week MA$71.98.2% above
100 week MA$72.57.3% above
200 week MA$65.419% above

KTB has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

KTB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.5$41.5-2.3%
2021$41.5$50.9+23%
2022$50.9$39.6-22%
2023$39.6$62.4+58%
2024$62.4$85.2+36%
2025$85.2$62.9-26%
2026 YTD$62.9$77.8+24%

KTB has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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