KSPI

Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz

54
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

KSPI has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over KSPI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

KSPI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

KSPI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

KSPI PE Valuation

KSPI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR's PE is in its cheap range at 120x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 75x next year's earnings.

KSPI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect KSPI's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

PLTR has the edge over KSPI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

KSPI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$108.91
Downside-18%$72.34

Calculated from the latest close: $88.64 on Nov 12.

KSPI trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KSPI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KSPI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $9.20Q4 2023: $9.88Q1 2024: $10.46Q2 2024: $11.05Q3 2024: $11.51Q4 2024: $12.33Q1 2025: $12.69Q2 2025: $12.86Q3 2025: $12.97Q4 2025: $12.47Q1 2026: $12.30Q2 2026: $12.32
Q3 2023: $9.20Q4 2023: $9.88Q1 2024: $10.46Q2 2024: $11.05Q3 2024: $11.51Q4 2024: $12.33Q1 2025: $12.69Q2 2025: $12.86Q3 2025: $12.97Q4 2025: $12.47Q1 2026: $12.30Q2 2026: $12.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$12.32-4.2%
Q1 2026$12.30-3.1%
Q4 2025$12.47+1.1%
Q3 2025$12.97+13%
Q2 2025$12.86+16%
Q1 2025$12.69+21%
Q4 2024$12.33+25%
Q3 2024$11.51+25%

KSPI earned $12.32 per share over the past year, down 4.2% from the year before.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over KSPI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KSPI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.1BQ4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.5B
Q3 2023: $1.1BQ4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.5B+14%
Q1 2026$2.3B+25%
Q4 2025$2.5B+53%
Q3 2025$2.5B+70%
Q2 2025$2.2B+64%
Q1 2025$1.8B+49%
Q4 2024$1.6B+27%
Q3 2024$1.5B+30%

KSPI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2023: $2.5B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over KSPI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

KSPI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$285MQ4 2023: $965MQ1 2024: −$423MQ2 2024: $574MQ3 2024: $368MQ4 2024: $574MQ1 2025: −$341MQ2 2025: $896MQ3 2025: −$323MQ4 2025: $873MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $1.5B
Q3 2023: −$285MQ4 2023: $965MQ1 2024: −$423MQ2 2024: $574MQ3 2024: $368MQ4 2024: $574MQ1 2025: −$341MQ2 2025: $896MQ3 2025: −$323MQ4 2025: $873MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.5B+64%
Q1 2026$120.4M+$461.1M
Q4 2025$872.7M+52%
Q3 2025-$323.1M-188%
Q2 2025$895.5M+56%
Q1 2025-$340.7M+$82.1M
Q4 2024$574.3M-40%
Q3 2024$367.6M+$652.3M

KSPI generated $2.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 43% from the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over KSPI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KSPI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 192MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 190MQ2 2024: 191MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ1 2025: 190MQ2 2025: 192MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 190MQ1 2026: 190MQ2 2026: 190M
Q3 2023: 192MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 190MQ2 2024: 191MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ1 2025: 190MQ2 2025: 192MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 190MQ1 2026: 190MQ2 2026: 190M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+3K shares
1 year-0.8%-1.6M shares
3 years-1%-1.8M shares

KSPI has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

KSPI Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1x
Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

KSPI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has the edge over KSPI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

KSPI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

KSPI's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

KSPI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKSPISector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

KSPI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

KSPI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$92.44.1% below
20 week MA$94.46.1% below
50 week MA$85.24% above
100 week MA$86.42.6% above

PLTR has stronger trend alignment. KSPI is above 2 of 4 weekly averages versus PLTR above 4 of 5.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 106% above its 200-week average.

KSPI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$96.0$96.7+0.8%
2025$96.7$78.7-19%
2026 YTD$78.7$88.6+13%

KSPI has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.

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