KSPI
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz
KSPI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over KSPI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
KSPI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
KSPI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
KSPI PE Valuation
KSPI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
KSPI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect KSPI's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
MSFT has the edge over KSPI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
KSPI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $12.32 | -4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.30 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.47 | +1.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.97 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.86 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.69 | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.33 | +25% |
| Q3 2024 | $11.51 | +25% |
KSPI earned $12.32 per share over the past year, down 4.2% from the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over KSPI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
KSPI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.5B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | +25% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B | +53% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B | +70% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +64% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +49% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | +27% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.5B | +30% |
KSPI has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 29% | -26 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | -7.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | -21 points |
| Q3 2025 | 57% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 56% | -18 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | -11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 52% | -0.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 52% | -32 points |
KSPI's operating margin was 29% last quarter, down 26 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2022.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over KSPI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
KSPI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +64% |
| Q1 2026 | $120.4M | +$461.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $872.7M | +52% |
| Q3 2025 | -$323.1M | -188% |
| Q2 2025 | $895.5M | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | -$340.7M | +$82.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $574.3M | -40% |
| Q3 2024 | $367.6M | +$652.3M |
KSPI has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
KSPI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +3K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -1% | -1.8M shares |
KSPI has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $63.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $49.3M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
KSPI spent $113M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
KSPI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
KSPI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
KSPI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.5 | Oversold |
KSPI's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
KSPI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | KSPI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
KSPI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
KSPI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $92.4 | 4.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $94.4 | 6.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $85.2 | 4% above |
| 100 week MA | $86.4 | 2.6% above |
MSFT has stronger trend alignment. KSPI is above 2 of 4 weekly averages versus MSFT above 4 of 5.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
KSPI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $96.0 | $96.7 | +0.8% |
| 2025 | $96.7 | $78.7 | -19% |
| 2026 YTD | $78.7 | $88.6 | +13% |
KSPI has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.