KRNY

Kearny Financial Corp.

61
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

KRNY offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has a slight edge over KRNY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

KRNY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

KRNY's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like KRNY.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

KRNY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.6x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.6x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$9.15—
Cheap12x$6.89-25%
Fair15x$8.97-1.9%
Current16x$9.15—
Expensive20x$11.37+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KRNY has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

KRNY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for KRNY, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

KRNY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$10.75
Downside-14%$7.83

Calculated from the latest close: $9.15 on Nov 12.

KRNY trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KRNY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

KRNY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.29Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $-1.39Q3 2024: $-1.45Q4 2024: $-1.13Q1 2025: $-1.14Q2 2025: $0.42Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $0.29Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $-1.39Q3 2024: $-1.45Q4 2024: $-1.13Q1 2025: $-1.14Q2 2025: $0.42Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+41%
Q3 2026$0.58+23%
Q2 2026$0.57+36%
Q1 2026$0.57+$1.71
Q4 2025$0.52+$1.65
Q3 2025$0.47+$1.92
Q2 2025$0.42+$1.81
Q1 2025-$1.14-556%
Q4 2024-$1.13-490%

KRNY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.58 over the past year, against $1.01 in early 2022.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over KRNY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KRNY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $39MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $45M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $39MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $45M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$45.3M+4%
Q2 2026$45.7M+12%
Q1 2026$45.3M+17%
Q4 2025$43.5M+16%
Q3 2025$43.6M+17%
Q2 2025$40.8M+4.5%
Q1 2025$38.6M+0.2%
Q4 2024$37.5M+89%

KRNY's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $45M last quarter, up 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over KRNY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

KRNY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.3M+520%
Q1 2026$7.9M-53%
Q4 2025$14.3M+$17M
Q3 2025$1.5M-41%
Q1 2025$16.8M-4.4%
Q4 2024-$2.7M-139%
Q3 2024$2.5M-79%
Q1 2024$17.6M-17%

KRNY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 37% versus its history, compared with MS at down 492%.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

KRNY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+343K shares
1 year+1%+612K shares
3 years+0.8%+502K shares
5 years-15%-11M shares
Available history-23%-19.3M shares

KRNY has 64M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over KRNY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

KRNY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 85.3xQ1 2024: 44.6xQ2 2025: 26.2xQ3 2025: 21.6xQ4 2025: 14.7x
Q4 2023: 85.3xQ1 2024: 44.6xQ2 2025: 26.2xQ3 2025: 21.6xQ4 2025: 14.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 202514.7xHigh
Q3 202521.6xHigh
Q2 202526.2xHigh
Q1 202444.6xHigh
Q4 202385.3xHigh
Q3 202360.8xHigh
Q2 202346.3xHigh
Q1 202343.6xHigh

KRNY's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like KRNY.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

KRNY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.2Neutral
Stochastic19.3Oversold

KRNY's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

KRNY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricKRNYSector medianRelative
PE16x13x21% above
PE %55638 pts below

KRNY is trading at 16x earnings, a 21% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over KRNY on valuation relative to its sector.

KRNY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.160.1% below
20 week MA$9.433% below
50 week MA$8.527.4% above
100 week MA$7.5122% above
200 week MA$7.4323% above

KRNY has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 23% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

KRNY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.8$10.6-23%
2021$10.6$13.1+24%
2022$13.1$10.3-21%
2023$10.3$8.97-13%
2024$8.97$7.07-21%
2025$7.07$7.58+7.2%
2026 YTD$7.58$9.15+21%

KRNY has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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