KRMN

Karman Holdings Inc.

65
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

KRMN has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

KRMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Under pressure
Weak

KRMN's revenue and profitability are currently strong, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KRMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE397x794x1190x1587x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE397x794x1190x1587x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward45x$40.50—
Current104x$40.50—
Cheap180x$70.06+73%
Fair821x$320+691%
Expensive1,251x$488+1105%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KRMN's PE is in its cheap range at 104x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 45x next year's earnings.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KRMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for KRMN, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

KRMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+98%$80.18
Downside-27%$29.64

Calculated from the latest close: $40.50 on Nov 12.

KRMN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails KRMN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KRMN Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.08Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.23Q2 2026: $0.29Q3 2026: $0.39Forward: $0.89
Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.08Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.23Q2 2026: $0.29Q3 2026: $0.39Forward: $0.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.89+129%
Q3 2026$0.39+388%
Q2 2026$0.29+383%
Q1 2026$0.23+475%

KRMN has the edge over RDW in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

KRMN Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $83MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $91MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $122MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $202M
Q1 2024: $83MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $91MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $122MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $202M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.6M+66%
Q2 2026$182.1M+58%
Q1 2026$151.2M+51%
Q4 2025$134.5M+47%
Q3 2025$121.8M+42%
Q2 2025$115.1M+35%
Q1 2025$100.1M+21%
Q4 2024$91.2M+19%

KRMN has the edge over RDW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

KRMN Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: $1MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: −$7MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: $13M
Q1 2024: $1MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: −$7MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.4M+$20.2M
Q2 2026-$17.7M+$3.3M
Q1 2026-$7.2M+$11.5M
Q4 2025$4M+16%
Q3 2025-$6.8M-229%
Q2 2025-$21M-2088%
Q1 2025-$18.6M-1381%
Q4 2024$3.4M+$8.4M

KRMN has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

KRMN Total Shares

Q1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 132MQ3 2024: 132MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 132MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 133MQ3 2026: 133M
Q1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 132MQ3 2024: 132MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 132MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 133MQ3 2026: 133M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+4K shares
1 year+0.2%+213K shares

KRMN has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

KRMN Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.7x
Q1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.7xHigh
Q2 20264.6xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20254.1xHigh
Q3 20253.6xElevated
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20252.3xModerate

KRMN's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.6 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KRMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic36.9Neutral

KRMN's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

KRMN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricKRMNSector medianRelative
PE104x24x331% above
PE %03030 pts below

KRMN is trading at 104x earnings, a 331% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KRMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.58.1% above
20 week MA$43.97.8% below
50 week MA$64.337% below

KRMN has stronger trend alignment. KRMN is above 1 of 3 weekly averages versus RDW above 0 of 5.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

KRMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$32.0$77.6+142%
2026 YTD$77.6$40.5-48%

KRMN has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 48% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over KRMN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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