KPLT

Katapult Holdings, Inc.

58
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

KPLT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over KPLT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

KPLT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

KPLT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

KPLT PE Valuation

KPLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

KPLT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

KPLT has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

KPLT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+98%$16.13
Downside-49%$4.13

Calculated from the latest close: $8.16 on Nov 12.

KPLT trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KPLT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KPLT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-8.28Q4 2023: $-8.04Q1 2024: $-5.92Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-7.30Q4 2024: $-5.96Q1 2025: $-7.06Q2 2025: $-7.08Q3 2025: $-5.97Q4 2025: $-0.11
Q3 2023: $-8.28Q4 2023: $-8.04Q1 2024: $-5.92Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-7.30Q4 2024: $-5.96Q1 2025: $-7.06Q2 2025: $-7.08Q3 2025: $-5.97Q4 2025: $-0.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025-$0.11+$5.85
Q3 2025-$5.97+$1.33
Q2 2025-$7.08-$1.12
Q1 2025-$7.06-$1.14
Q4 2024-$5.96+$2.08
Q3 2024-$7.30+$0.98
Q2 2024-$5.96+$3.61
Q1 2024-$5.92+$4.58

MSFT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 102% for KPLT versus MSFT up 36%.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

KPLT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $55MQ4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $74MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $75M
Q3 2023: $55MQ4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $74MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $75M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$74.8M+4%
Q1 2026$79M+9.8%
Q4 2025$73.9M+17%
Q3 2025$74M+23%
Q2 2025$71.9M+22%
Q1 2025$71.9M+11%
Q4 2024$63M+9.4%
Q3 2024$60.3M+9.2%

KPLT's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $75M last quarter, up 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over KPLT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

KPLT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $821,000Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$653,000Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$6M
Q3 2023: $821,000Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: −$653,000Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.1M+$539K
Q1 2026$12.2M+257%
Q4 2025-$12.7M+$15.8M
Q3 2025$4M+$9.4M
Q2 2025-$6.6M-$6M
Q1 2025$3.4M+72%
Q4 2024-$28.5M-$18.8M
Q3 2024-$5.4M-762%

KPLT has burned cash in most quarters: −$3M over the past year, against −$37M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over KPLT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

KPLT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4MQ4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ2 2026: 5M
Q3 2023: 4MQ4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ2 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.2%+464K shares
1 year+19%+873K shares
3 years+38%+1.5M shares
5 years+1480%+5.1M shares

KPLT has 5M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over KPLT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

KPLT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.3xQ4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q3 2023: 0.3xQ4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 20240.3xVery low

KPLT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over KPLT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

KPLT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic68.2Neutral

KPLT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

KPLT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKPLTSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

KPLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

KPLT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.2712% above
20 week MA$7.2712% above
50 week MA$6.9218% above
100 week MA$8.726.4% below
200 week MA$11.328% below

KPLT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 28% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over KPLT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

KPLT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$245.3$348.8+42%
2021$348.8$83.0-76%
2022$83.0$21.0-75%
2023$21.0$10.9-48%
2024$10.9$5.81-47%
2025$5.81$6.85+18%
2026 YTD$6.85$8.16+19%

KPLT has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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