KNF

Knife River Corporation

49
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

KNF's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 11%, but earnings per share fell 9.9%. At 24x earnings, it's trading below its usual 28x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

KNF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

KNF's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

KNF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current24x$56.68—
Forward24x$56.68—
Cheap25x$58.32+2.9%
Fair28x$65.42+15%
Expensive31x$73.66+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KNF's PE is in its cheap range at 24.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 23.7x.

KNF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect KNF's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KNF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$70.89
Downside-24%$42.88

Calculated from the latest close: $56.68 on Nov 12.

KNF's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +25% against −24%.

KNF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $3.18Q2 2025: $2.70Q3 2025: $2.62Q4 2025: $2.76Q1 2026: $2.57Q2 2026: $2.45Q3 2026: $2.36Forward: $2.39
Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $3.18Q2 2025: $2.70Q3 2025: $2.62Q4 2025: $2.76Q1 2026: $2.57Q2 2026: $2.45Q3 2026: $2.36Forward: $2.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.39+1.5%
Q3 2026$2.36-9.9%
Q2 2026$2.45-9.3%
Q1 2026$2.57-19%
Q4 2025$2.76-22%

KNF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.36 over the past year, against $3.55 in late 2024.

KNF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $807MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $657MQ1 2025: $353MQ2 2025: $834MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $755MQ1 2026: $410MQ2 2026: $939MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $807MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $657MQ1 2025: $353MQ2 2025: $834MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $755MQ1 2026: $410MQ2 2026: $939MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+6%
Q2 2026$938.6M+13%
Q1 2026$410.1M+16%
Q4 2025$755.1M+15%
Q3 2025$1.2B+8.9%
Q2 2025$833.8M+3.3%
Q1 2025$353.5M+7.2%
Q4 2024$657.2M+1.6%

KNF's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 6% from the same quarter a year ago.

KNF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: −$87MQ2 2024: −$107MQ3 2024: $216MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: −$200MQ2 2025: −$196MQ3 2025: $189MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: −$136MQ2 2026: −$148MQ3 2026: $136M
Q4 2023: $145MQ1 2024: −$87MQ2 2024: −$107MQ3 2024: $216MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: −$200MQ2 2025: −$196MQ3 2025: $189MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: −$136MQ2 2026: −$148MQ3 2026: $136M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$136.1M-28%
Q2 2026-$147.9M+$48.3M
Q1 2026-$135.9M+$64.4M
Q4 2025$138.2M+8.7%
Q3 2025$188.7M-13%
Q2 2025-$196.2M-$89.7M
Q1 2025-$200.2M-$113.3M
Q4 2024$127.2M-12%

KNF's free cash flow was −$10M over the past year, against −$81M the year before.

KNF Total Shares

Q1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
Q1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-53K shares
1 year-0.1%-59K shares
3 years+0.4%+226K shares

KNF has 57M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

KNF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20241.0xVery low

KNF's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

KNF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.9Neutral
Stochastic32.8Neutral

KNF's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

KNF PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricKNFSector medianRelative
PE24x19x29% above
PE %13196 pts below

KNF is trading at 24x earnings, a 29% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

KNF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$53.65.7% above
20 week MA$63.310% below
50 week MA$73.623% below
100 week MA$80.129% below

KNF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 29% below its 100-week average.

KNF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$37.7$66.2+76%
2024$66.2$103.0+56%
2025$103.0$73.7-28%
2026 YTD$73.7$56.7-23%

KNF has finished higher in two of the last three years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 23% so far in 2026.

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