KMPR
Kemper Corporation
KMPR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over KMPR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
KMPR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
KMPR's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like KMPR.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
KMPR PE Valuation
KMPR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
KMPR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect KMPR's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over KMPR on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
KMPR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.58 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$7.08 | -285% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.30 | -256% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.72 | -87% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.29 | -53% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.83 | -8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.31 | +581% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.35 | +$7.25 |
| Q4 2024 | $4.91 | +$9.16 |
KMPR has swung to a loss: it lost $7.08 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over KMPR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
KMPR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | -7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | -4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +8.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +4.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | 0% |
KMPR's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.1B last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | 11% | +15 points |
| Q2 2024 | 10% | +12 points |
| Q1 2024 | 7.5% | +14 points |
| Q4 2023 | 5.3% | +8.3 points |
| Q3 2023 | -3.3% | 0 points |
| Q2 2023 | -1.9% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2023 | -6.6% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2022 | -2.9% | +9.2 points |
KMPR's operating margin was 11% last quarter, up 14 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over KMPR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
KMPR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.7M | -58% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.1M | -77% |
| Q1 2026 | $77.9M | -55% |
| Q4 2025 | $166.2M | +0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $133.4M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $82M | +1477% |
| Q1 2025 | $172.3M | +522% |
| Q4 2024 | $165.4M | +$209.8M |
KMPR has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
KMPR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.2% | +722K shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -1.9M shares |
| 3 years | -7% | -4.5M shares |
| 5 years | -6.3% | -4M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -7M shares |
KMPR has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $50.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $218.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $28.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $4M |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9M |
KMPR spent $51M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 81% from the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
KMPR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 9.7x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2020 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2020 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2020 | 0.6x | Very low |
KMPR's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like KMPR.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
KMPR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.4 | Overbought |
KMPR's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
KMPR PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | KMPR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 13x | — |
KMPR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
KMPR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.6 | 16% above |
| 20 week MA | $28.7 | 20% above |
| 50 week MA | $31.2 | 9.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $44.8 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $49.9 | 31% below |
KMPR has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 31% below its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
KMPR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $76.7 | $77.2 | +0.6% |
| 2021 | $77.2 | $56.3 | -27% |
| 2022 | $56.3 | $50.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $50.5 | $48.7 | -3.7% |
| 2024 | $48.7 | $65.2 | +34% |
| 2025 | $65.2 | $40.9 | -37% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.9 | $34.3 | -16% |
KMPR has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over KMPR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.