KKR
KKR & Co. Inc.
KKR has a slight edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
KKR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
KKR's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like KKR.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
KKR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.1x | $27.68 | -72% |
| Forward | 11x | $97.20 | — |
| Fair | 28x | $96.54 | -0.7% |
| Current | 28x | $97.20 | — |
| Expensive | 50x | $172 | +77% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
KKR's PE is in its fair range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over KKR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
KKR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for KKR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
KKR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.81 | +157% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.43 | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.14 | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.94 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.34 | -29% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.36 | -27% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.10 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.32 | -48% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.28 | -20% |
KKR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.43 over the past year, against $9.18 in late 2021.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over KKR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
KKR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.6B | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.7B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.3B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.7B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.5B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.1B | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.1B | -68% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | -26% |
KKR's revenue is growing: $4.6B last quarter, down 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 33% | -6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -14 points |
| Q4 2025 | 45% | -5.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 25% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 50% | +8.1 points |
KKR has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over KKR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
KKR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.1B | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +641% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | -31% |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.9B | -$4.8B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4B | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $438.8M | -87% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B | +67% |
| Q4 2024 | -$111.7M | -110% |
KKR has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
KKR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -5.5M shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +786K shares |
| 3 years | +0.8% | +7.1M shares |
| 5 years | +53% | +307M shares |
| Available history | +58% | +326M shares |
KKR has 892M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $143.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $42M |
| Q1 2026 | $191.2M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
KKR spent $376M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over KKR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
KKR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
KKR has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
KKR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.5 | Neutral |
KKR's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
KKR PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | KKR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 118% above |
| PE % | 50 | 63 | 13 pts below |
KKR is trading at 28x earnings, a 118% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS has the edge over KKR on valuation relative to its sector.
KKR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $92.9 | 4.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $98.9 | 1.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $102.9 | 5.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $116.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $101.7 | 4.4% below |
KKR has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.4% below its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over KKR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
KKR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.2 | $39.8 | +37% |
| 2021 | $39.8 | $75.7 | +90% |
| 2022 | $75.7 | $46.9 | -38% |
| 2023 | $46.9 | $82.9 | +77% |
| 2024 | $82.9 | $149.9 | +81% |
| 2025 | $149.9 | $130.4 | -13% |
| 2026 YTD | $130.4 | $97.2 | -25% |
KKR has finished higher in four of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 25% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over KKR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.