KGS

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.

73
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation86/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

KGS's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 26x earnings, less than half its usual 61x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

KGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Under pressure

KGS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

KGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE44x89x133x178x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE44x89x133x178x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$44.40—
Current26x$44.40—
Cheap40x$69.20+56%
Fair61x$106+138%
Expensive85x$147+232%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KGS's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

KGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for KGS, but weaker profitability.

KGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$63.97
Downside-16%$37.36

Calculated from the latest close: $44.40 on Nov 12.

KGS's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +44% against −16%.

KGS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.33Q1 2024: $0.88Q2 2024: $0.64Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $0.50Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.76Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $1.73Forward: $2.56
Q4 2023: $0.33Q1 2024: $0.88Q2 2024: $0.64Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $0.50Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.76Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $1.73Forward: $2.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.56+48%
Q3 2026$1.73+125%
Q2 2026$0.86-1.1%
Q1 2026$0.76+52%
Q4 2025$0.89+59%
Q3 2025$0.77+166%
Q2 2025$0.87+36%
Q1 2025$0.50-43%
Q4 2024$0.56+70%

KGS earned $1.73 per share over the past year, up 125% from the year before.

KGS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $226MQ1 2024: $215MQ2 2024: $310MQ3 2024: $325MQ4 2024: $310MQ1 2025: $330MQ2 2025: $323MQ3 2025: $323MQ4 2025: $333MQ1 2026: $346MQ2 2026: $391MQ3 2026: $402M
Q4 2023: $226MQ1 2024: $215MQ2 2024: $310MQ3 2024: $325MQ4 2024: $310MQ1 2025: $330MQ2 2025: $323MQ3 2025: $323MQ4 2025: $333MQ1 2026: $346MQ2 2026: $391MQ3 2026: $402M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$401.8M+24%
Q2 2026$391.1M+21%
Q1 2026$345.8M+4.9%
Q4 2025$332.9M+7.5%
Q3 2025$322.7M-0.6%
Q2 2025$322.8M+4.3%
Q1 2025$329.6M+53%
Q4 2024$309.5M+37%

KGS's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $402M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

KGS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: −$50MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$101MQ3 2026: −$29M
Q4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: −$50MQ4 2024: $45MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$101MQ3 2026: −$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$29.4M-370%
Q2 2026-$100.7M-207%
Q1 2026-$47.2M-228%
Q4 2025$142M+214%
Q3 2025$10.9M+$60.6M
Q2 2025$94.6M+2235%
Q1 2025$36.8M+$45.4M
Q4 2024$45.2M+$56.8M

KGS's free cash flow was −$35M over the past year, against $187M the year before.

KGS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 78MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 97MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 78MQ2 2024: 91MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 97MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.6%+5.4M shares
1 year+17%+15.1M shares
3 years+33%+25.3M shares

KGS has 102M diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

KGS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 5.4xQ4 2024: 5.1xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 5.4xQ4 2024: 5.1xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.1xHigh
Q3 20254.4xHigh
Q2 20254.2xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20245.1xHigh

KGS's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.

KGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.7Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

KGS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

KGS PE vs Energy Sector

MetricKGSSector medianRelative
PE26x13x96% above
PE %05959 pts below

KGS is trading at 26x earnings, a 96% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

KGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.27.8% below
20 week MA$56.722% below
50 week MA$55.720% below
100 week MA$46.23.8% below

KGS is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 3.8% below its 100-week average.

KGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$16.2$20.1+24%
2024$20.1$40.5+101%
2025$40.5$36.4-10%
2026 YTD$36.4$44.4+22%

KGS has finished higher in two of the last three years. It's up 22% so far in 2026.

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