KEEL
Keel Infrastructure Corp.
KEEL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over KEEL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
KEEL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
KEEL's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
KEEL PE Valuation
KEEL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
KEEL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong decline | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect KEEL's losses to grow, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
KEEL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.71 | -$0.48 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.75 | -$0.58 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.69 | -$0.50 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.52 | -$0.39 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.23 | +$0.12 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.17 | +$0.16 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.19 | +$0.18 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.13 | +$0.23 |
KEEL is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.71 per share over the past year, against $1.19 at its worst in early 2023.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over KEEL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
KEEL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.6M | -60% |
| Q2 2026 | $30.4M | -61% |
| Q1 2026 | $37M | -45% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.4M | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $69.2M | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $77.8M | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $66.8M | +33% |
| Q4 2024 | $56.2M | +21% |
KEEL's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $28M last quarter, down 60% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -28% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | -463% | -412 points |
| Q1 2026 | -266% | -218 points |
| Q4 2025 | -316% | -287 points |
| Q3 2025 | -42% | +56 points |
| Q2 2025 | -51% | +5.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -29% | -1.6 points |
KEEL's operating margin was −28% last quarter, up 14 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over KEEL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over KEEL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
KEEL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$56.7M | +$12.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$96M | -$2.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$75M | -$8.6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$117.9M | +$111.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.2M | +$55.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$93.5M | -$27M |
| Q1 2025 | -$66.4M | +$42.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$229.3M | -$218.7M |
KEEL has burned cash in most quarters: −$346M over the past year, against −$458M the year before.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over KEEL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
KEEL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2% | +11.9M shares |
| 1 year | +11% | +60.7M shares |
| 3 years | +125% | +343M shares |
| 5 years | +249% | +440M shares |
| Available history | +769% | +546M shares |
KEEL has 617M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $2,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $10M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over KEEL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
KEEL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -4.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -34.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2023 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | 0.8x | Very low |
KEEL has more cash than debt.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
KEEL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.2 | Oversold |
KEEL's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
KEEL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | KEEL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
KEEL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
KEEL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.60 | 25% below |
| 20 week MA | $3.36 | 42% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.27 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.49 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.15 | 9.3% below |
KEEL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.3% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over KEEL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
KEEL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0.35 | $1.65 | +371% |
| 2021 | $1.65 | $5.80 | +252% |
| 2022 | $5.80 | $0.41 | -93% |
| 2023 | $0.41 | $2.91 | +610% |
| 2024 | $2.91 | $1.63 | -44% |
| 2025 | $1.63 | $2.48 | +52% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.48 | $1.95 | -21% |
KEEL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +610% in 2023 to −93% in 2022. It's down 21% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over KEEL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.