KD

Kyndryl Holdings, Inc.

45
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential26/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

KD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over KD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

KD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure

KD's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

KD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.1x$17.06—
Cheap14x$4.73-72%
Fair25x$8.67-49%
Expensive40x$14.14-17%
Current49x$17.06—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KD's PE is in its expensive range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over KD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

KD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect KD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

KD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$19.83
Downside-45%$9.37

Calculated from the latest close: $17.06 on Nov 12.

KD trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

KD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-1.48Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-0.38Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $1.05Q2 2025: $1.23Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.07Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.37Q3 2026: $0.35Forward: $2.78
Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-1.48Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-0.38Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $1.05Q2 2025: $1.23Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.07Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.37Q3 2026: $0.35Forward: $2.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.78+693%
Q3 2026$0.35-80%
Q2 2026$0.37-70%
Q1 2026$0.85-19%
Q4 2025$1.07+91%
Q3 2025$1.71+$2.09
Q2 2025$1.23+$2.04
Q1 2025$1.05+$2.53
Q4 2024$0.56+$5.09

KD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.35 over the past year, against $1.71 in late 2025.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over KD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-1.9%
Q2 2026$3.6B-3.3%
Q1 2026$3.8B-0.8%
Q4 2025$3.9B+3.1%
Q3 2025$3.7B-1.4%
Q2 2025$3.7B+0.1%
Q1 2025$3.8B-1.3%
Q4 2024$3.7B-4.9%

KD's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 1.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over KD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $262MQ1 2024: −$57MQ2 2024: −$170MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $341MQ2 2025: −$267MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $208MQ1 2026: $382MQ2 2026: −$459MQ3 2026: −$41M
Q4 2023: $262MQ1 2024: −$57MQ2 2024: −$170MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $341MQ2 2025: −$267MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $208MQ1 2026: $382MQ2 2026: −$459MQ3 2026: −$41M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$41M-341%
Q2 2026-$459M-$192M
Q1 2026$382M+12%
Q4 2025$208M+38%
Q3 2025$17M+13%
Q2 2025-$267M-$97M
Q1 2025$341M+$398M
Q4 2024$151M-42%

KD has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

KD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 230MQ1 2024: 229MQ2 2024: 236MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 241MQ1 2025: 239MQ2 2025: 239MQ3 2025: 236MQ4 2025: 233MQ1 2026: 234MQ2 2026: 221MQ3 2026: 219M
Q4 2023: 230MQ1 2024: 229MQ2 2024: 236MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 241MQ1 2025: 239MQ2 2025: 239MQ3 2025: 236MQ4 2025: 233MQ1 2026: 234MQ2 2026: 221MQ3 2026: 219M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.5M shares
1 year-7.1%-16.8M shares
3 years-4.4%-10M shares
5 years-2.2%-5M shares
Available history-2.2%-4.8M shares

KD has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

KD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.9xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 5.9xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

KD's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over KD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

KD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.0Neutral
Stochastic76.4Neutral

KD's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

KD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKDSector medianRelative
PE49x28x75% above
PE %864640 pts above

KD is trading at 49x earnings, a 75% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over KD on valuation relative to its sector.

KD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.824% above
20 week MA$13.230% above
50 week MA$15.411% above
100 week MA$24.831% below
200 week MA$22.323% below

KD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 23% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over KD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

KD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$40.8$19.1-53%
2022$19.1$11.0-42%
2023$11.0$20.8+88%
2024$20.8$34.8+68%
2025$34.8$27.2-22%
2026 YTD$27.2$17.1-37%

KD has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 37% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over KD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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