KBDC

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.

50
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

KBDC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over KBDC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

KBDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

KBDC's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like KBDC.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

KBDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.4x4.7x7.1x9.4x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2.4x4.7x7.1x9.4x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7.4x$12.87—
Cheap7.7x$13.51+5%
Forward8x$12.87—
Fair8.1x$14.22+11%
Expensive8.5x$14.84+15%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KBDC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

KBDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect KBDC's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over KBDC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

KBDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$14.49
Downside-11%$11.47

Calculated from the latest close: $12.87 on Nov 12.

KBDC trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KBDC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KBDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.16Q1 2024: $2.14Q2 2024: $2.09Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.03Q1 2025: $1.91Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.70Q2 2026: $1.72Q3 2026: $1.75Forward: $1.61
Q4 2023: $2.16Q1 2024: $2.14Q2 2024: $2.09Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.03Q1 2025: $1.91Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.70Q2 2026: $1.72Q3 2026: $1.75Forward: $1.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.61-7.8%
Q3 2026$1.75+2.3%
Q2 2026$1.72-4.4%
Q1 2026$1.70-11%
Q4 2025$1.67-18%
Q3 2025$1.71-18%
Q2 2025$1.80-14%
Q1 2025$1.91-11%
Q4 2024$2.03-6%

KBDC earned $1.75 per share over the past year, up 2.3% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over KBDC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KBDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$20.7M+306%

KBDC has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

KBDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$54MQ1 2024: −$91MQ2 2024: −$287MQ3 2024: −$118MQ4 2024: −$49MQ1 2025: −$127MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: −$54MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: −$69MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: −$54MQ1 2024: −$91MQ2 2024: −$287MQ3 2024: −$118MQ4 2024: −$49MQ1 2025: −$127MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: −$54MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: −$69MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$65.1M+$118.8M
Q2 2026-$69.4M-2950%
Q1 2026$39.8M+$167M
Q4 2025$79.8M+$128.9M
Q3 2025-$53.7M+$63.9M
Q2 2025$2.4M+$289.2M
Q1 2025-$127.2M-$36.2M
Q4 2024-$49.1M+$4.7M

KBDC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

KBDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 71MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 71MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 70MQ1 2026: 67MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 71MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 71MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 70MQ1 2026: 67MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-306K shares
1 year-6.2%-4.4M shares
3 years+63%+25.5M shares

KBDC has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

KBDC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202210.0xHigh
Q2 20229.6xHigh

KBDC's net debt is about 10 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like KBDC.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

KBDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.7Neutral
Stochastic28.5Neutral

KBDC's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

KBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricKBDCSector medianRelative
PE7.4x13x44% below
PE %32724 pts below

KBDC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

KBDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.71.4% above
20 week MA$13.22.2% below
50 week MA$13.97.2% below
100 week MA$14.813% below

MS has stronger trend alignment. KBDC is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus MS above 3 of 5.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

KBDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$16.1$16.8+4%
2025$16.8$14.8-12%
2026 YTD$14.8$12.9-13%

KBDC has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over KBDC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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