KALU

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

77
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

KALU's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 8.6x earnings, about a third of its usual 25x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

KALU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

KALU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

KALU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE126x253x379x506x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE126x253x379x506x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.6x$111—
Forward11x$111—
Cheap18x$231+108%
Fair25x$329+196%
Expensive83x$1,074+867%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KALU's PE is in its cheap range at 8.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.

KALU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for KALU, with profitability holding steady.

KALU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$171.76
Downside-17%$92.26

Calculated from the latest close: $110.99 on Nov 12.

KALU's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +55% against −17%.

KALU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.92Q1 2024: $3.44Q2 2024: $2.49Q3 2024: $2.89Q4 2024: $2.87Q1 2025: $2.67Q2 2025: $3.89Q3 2025: $5.53Q4 2025: $6.77Q1 2026: $9.17Q2 2026: $13.48Q3 2026: $12.94Forward: $9.79
Q4 2023: $2.92Q1 2024: $3.44Q2 2024: $2.49Q3 2024: $2.89Q4 2024: $2.87Q1 2025: $2.67Q2 2025: $3.89Q3 2025: $5.53Q4 2025: $6.77Q1 2026: $9.17Q2 2026: $13.48Q3 2026: $12.94Forward: $9.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.79-24%
Q3 2026$12.94+134%
Q2 2026$13.48+247%
Q1 2026$9.17+243%
Q4 2025$6.77+136%
Q3 2025$5.53+91%
Q2 2025$3.89+56%
Q1 2025$2.67-22%
Q4 2024$2.87-1.7%

KALU earned $12.94 per share over the past year, up 134% from the year before.

KALU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $722MQ1 2024: $738MQ2 2024: $773MQ3 2024: $748MQ4 2024: $765MQ1 2025: $777MQ2 2025: $823MQ3 2025: $844MQ4 2025: $929MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $722MQ1 2024: $738MQ2 2024: $773MQ3 2024: $748MQ4 2024: $765MQ1 2025: $777MQ2 2025: $823MQ3 2025: $844MQ4 2025: $929MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+44%
Q2 2026$1.3B+53%
Q1 2026$1.1B+42%
Q4 2025$929M+21%
Q3 2025$843.5M+13%
Q2 2025$823.1M+6.4%
Q1 2025$777.4M+5.4%
Q4 2024$765.4M+6.1%

KALU's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.

KALU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $33MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$51MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $72M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $33MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$51MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$72.3M+110%
Q2 2026$35.1M+$62.8M
Q1 2026$68.5M+264%
Q4 2025-$51.1M-$38.5M
Q3 2025$34.5M+$51.5M
Q2 2025-$27.7M-$10.3M
Q1 2025$18.8M-44%
Q4 2024-$12.6M-125%

KALU generated $125M in free cash flow over the past year, about 10 times what it generated the year before.

KALU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-32K shares
1 year+1.6%+274K shares
3 years+4.5%+732K shares
5 years+6.5%+1M shares
Available history+4.2%+683K shares

KALU has 17M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

KALU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 4.9xQ4 2024: 5.0xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 4.9xQ4 2024: 5.0xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20254.5xHigh
Q1 20254.8xHigh
Q4 20245.0xHigh

KALU's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.

KALU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.9Neutral
Stochastic9.0Oversold

KALU's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

KALU PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricKALUSector medianRelative
PE8.6x19x54% below
PE %14039 pts below

KALU is trading at 8.6x earnings, a 54% discount to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

KALU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.615% below
20 week MA$150.526% below
50 week MA$145.924% below
100 week MA$110.50.4% above
200 week MA$92.920% above

KALU has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 20% above its 200-week average.

KALU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$111.8$95.7-14%
2021$95.7$96.3+0.6%
2022$96.3$77.1-20%
2023$77.1$71.2-7.6%
2024$71.2$69.3-2.6%
2025$69.3$117.6+70%
2026 YTD$117.6$111.0-5.6%

KALU has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 5.6% so far in 2026.

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