JXN

Jackson Financial Inc.

58
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

JXN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over JXN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

JXN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

JXN's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JXN.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

JXN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE117x235x352x469x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE117x235x352x469x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap1x$12.52-91%
Fair4x$48.54-65%
Forward4.4x$139—
Current11x$139—
Expensive65x$792+471%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JXN's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.4x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over JXN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JXN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JXN, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

JXN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$173.50
Downside-17%$114.94

Calculated from the latest close: $138.63 on Nov 12.

JXN trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JXN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

JXN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.76Q1 2024: $38.81Q2 2024: $28.03Q3 2024: $-11.69Q4 2024: $11.74Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $0.23Q3 2025: $7.52Q4 2025: $-0.24Q1 2026: $-6.00Q2 2026: $0.82Q3 2026: $12.27Forward: $31.37
Q4 2023: $10.76Q1 2024: $38.81Q2 2024: $28.03Q3 2024: $-11.69Q4 2024: $11.74Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $0.23Q3 2025: $7.52Q4 2025: $-0.24Q1 2026: $-6.00Q2 2026: $0.82Q3 2026: $12.27Forward: $31.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$31.37+156%
Q3 2026$12.27+63%
Q2 2026$0.82+257%
Q1 2026-$6.00-555%
Q4 2025-$0.24-102%
Q3 2025$7.52+$19.21
Q2 2025$0.23-99%
Q1 2025$1.32-97%
Q4 2024$11.74+9.1%

JXN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $12.27 over the past year, against $78.10 in late 2022.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over JXN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JXN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $892MQ1 2024: −$359MQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: −$483MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $168MQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $892MQ1 2024: −$359MQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: −$483MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $168MQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+8.9%
Q1 2026$2.9B-23%
Q4 2025$2B+784%
Q3 2025$1.4B-33%
Q4 2024$225M-75%
Q3 2024$2.1B-19%
Q2 2024$1.2B+204%
Q3 2023$2.6B-35%

JXN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1.5B last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over JXN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JXN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+3.4%
Q2 2026$1.8B+58%
Q1 2026$1B-34%
Q4 2025$1.6B+6.3%
Q3 2025$1.4B+0.4%
Q2 2025$1.2B-21%
Q1 2025$1.6B+12%
Q4 2024$1.5B-6.7%

JXN has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

JXN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 77MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 77MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 68M
Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 77MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 77MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 68M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-2.6%-1.8M shares
3 years-17%-14.4M shares
5 years-28%-26M shares
Available history-28%-26M shares

JXN has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

JXN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20230.4xVery low
Q4 20220.0xVery low
Q3 2022-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.2xNet Cash

JXN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JXN.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

JXN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.3Neutral
Stochastic53.7Neutral

JXN's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

JXN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJXNSector medianRelative
PE11x13x13% below
PE %70655 pts above

JXN has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JXN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$132.64.6% above
20 week MA$129.57.1% above
50 week MA$117.318% above
100 week MA$103.334% above
200 week MA$80.472% above

JXN has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

JXN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$28.8$39.9+39%
2022$39.9$35.0-12%
2023$35.0$51.2+46%
2024$51.2$88.0+72%
2025$88.0$108.2+23%
2026 YTD$108.2$138.6+28%

JXN has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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