JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.

66
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

WTM has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

WTM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

WTM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WTM.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

WTM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE772x1543x2315x3086x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE772x1543x2315x3086x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$1,792-20%
Current6x$2,247—
Fair8.2x$3,092+38%
Expensive24x$9,021+302%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WTM has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

WTM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WTM to show an outlook.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WTM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WTM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$2,608.61
Downside-10%$2,019.92

Calculated from the latest close: $2,246.52 on Nov 12.

WTM trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

WTM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $198.60Q1 2024: $221.10Q2 2024: $192.21Q3 2024: $252.70Q4 2024: $89.79Q1 2025: $10.65Q2 2025: $79.64Q3 2025: $54.14Q4 2025: $430.14Q1 2026: $404.36Q2 2026: $437.19Q3 2026: $375.30
Q4 2023: $198.60Q1 2024: $221.10Q2 2024: $192.21Q3 2024: $252.70Q4 2024: $89.79Q1 2025: $10.65Q2 2025: $79.64Q3 2025: $54.14Q4 2025: $430.14Q1 2026: $404.36Q2 2026: $437.19Q3 2026: $375.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$375.30+593%
Q2 2026$437.19+449%
Q1 2026$404.36+3697%
Q4 2025$430.14+379%
Q3 2025$54.14-79%
Q2 2025$79.64-59%
Q1 2025$10.65-95%
Q4 2024$89.79-55%

WTM earned $375.30 per share over the past year, about seven times what it earned the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over WTM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WTM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $737MQ1 2024: $647MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $578MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $864MQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $518MQ2 2026: $845MQ3 2026: $641M
Q4 2023: $737MQ1 2024: $647MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $578MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $864MQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $518MQ2 2026: $845MQ3 2026: $641M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$641.1M-26%
Q2 2026$844.6M+23%
Q1 2026$517.8M-10%
Q4 2025$1.6B+348%
Q3 2025$864.2M+3%
Q2 2025$689.2M+74%
Q1 2025$577.8M-11%
Q4 2024$358M-51%

WTM's revenue is growing: $641M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

WTM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $217MQ3 2024: $269MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: −$40MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $359MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: −$56MQ3 2026: $357M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $217MQ3 2024: $269MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: −$40MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $359MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: −$56MQ3 2026: $357M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$356.6M-0.8%
Q2 2026-$55.5M-131%
Q1 2026$30.5M+$70.7M
Q4 2025$53.9M-16%
Q3 2025$359.3M+33%
Q2 2025$177.5M-18%
Q1 2025-$40.2M-210%
Q4 2024$64.1M+162%

WTM has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

WTM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-52.5K shares
1 year-7.4%-187K shares
3 years-6.7%-168K shares
5 years-23%-697K shares
Available history-25%-786K shares

WTM has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over WTM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WTM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20240.9xVery low

WTM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WTM.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

WTM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.9Neutral
Stochastic75.8Neutral

WTM's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

WTM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWTMSector medianRelative
PE6x13x54% below
PE %396324 pts below

WTM has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

WTM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2,156.74.2% above
20 week MA$2,143.84.8% above
50 week MA$2,134.05.3% above
100 week MA$1,986.913% above
200 week MA$1,803.225% above

WTM has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

WTM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1,098.0$985.8-10%
2021$985.8$1,012.4+2.7%
2022$1,012.4$1,394.8+38%
2023$1,394.8$1,505.0+7.9%
2024$1,505.0$1,918.7+27%
2025$1,918.7$2,062.3+7.5%
2026 YTD$2,062.3$2,246.5+8.9%

WTM has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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