JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has a slight edge over WAL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

WAL

Western Alliance Bancorporation

57
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

WAL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

WAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

WAL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WAL.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over WAL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.2x$65.13-12%
Forward7.2x$74.39—
Current8.2x$74.39—
Fair9.4x$84.88+14%
Expensive13x$118+58%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WAL's PE is in its cheap range at 8.2x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

WAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

WAL has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WAL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$98.72
Downside-16%$62.31

Calculated from the latest close: $74.39 on Nov 12.

WAL trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

WAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.54Q1 2024: $6.86Q2 2024: $6.65Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $7.09Q1 2025: $7.28Q2 2025: $7.60Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $8.73Q1 2026: $8.59Q2 2026: $8.88Q3 2026: $9.05Forward: $10.33
Q4 2023: $6.54Q1 2024: $6.86Q2 2024: $6.65Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $7.09Q1 2025: $7.28Q2 2025: $7.60Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $8.73Q1 2026: $8.59Q2 2026: $8.88Q3 2026: $9.05Forward: $10.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.33+14%
Q3 2026$9.05+12%
Q2 2026$8.88+17%
Q1 2026$8.59+18%
Q4 2025$8.73+23%
Q3 2025$8.08+25%
Q2 2025$7.60+14%
Q1 2025$7.28+6.1%
Q4 2024$7.09+8.4%

WAL has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

WAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $682MQ1 2024: $729MQ2 2024: $772MQ3 2024: $823MQ4 2024: $838MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $846MQ3 2025: $938MQ4 2025: $981MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $996MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $682MQ1 2024: $729MQ2 2024: $772MQ3 2024: $823MQ4 2024: $838MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $846MQ3 2025: $938MQ4 2025: $981MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $996MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+8.1%
Q2 2026$995.7M+18%
Q1 2026$1B+31%
Q4 2025$980.9M+17%
Q3 2025$938.2M+14%
Q2 2025$845.9M+9.6%
Q1 2025$778M+6.8%
Q4 2024$838.4M+23%

WAL has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

WAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $341MQ1 2024: −$307MQ2 2024: −$746MQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: −$622MQ1 2025: −$1.7BQ2 2025: −$358MQ3 2025: −$597MQ4 2025: −$70MQ1 2026: −$507MQ2 2026: −$356MQ3 2026: $770M
Q4 2023: $341MQ1 2024: −$307MQ2 2024: −$746MQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: −$622MQ1 2025: −$1.7BQ2 2025: −$358MQ3 2025: −$597MQ4 2025: −$70MQ1 2026: −$507MQ2 2026: −$356MQ3 2026: $770M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$769.9M+$1.4B
Q2 2026-$356.1M+$1.6M
Q1 2026-$507.2M+$1.1B
Q4 2025-$69.8M+$551.9M
Q3 2025-$597.4M+$470.6M
Q2 2025-$357.7M+$388.1M
Q1 2025-$1.7B-$1.3B
Q4 2024-$621.7M-282%

WAL has the edge over JPM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over WAL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 110MQ2 2025: 110MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 110MQ2 2025: 110MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-200K shares
1 year-1.8%-2M shares
3 years-0.6%-700K shares
5 years+3.8%+3.9M shares
Available history+4.5%+4.7M shares

WAL has 108M diluted shares, down 1.8% from a year ago, with $203M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over WAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.8x
Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.8xElevated
Q2 20264.3xHigh
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20244.8xHigh

WAL's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WAL.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

WAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic30.1Neutral

WAL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

WAL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWALSector medianRelative
PE8.2x13x37% below
PE %266337 pts below

WAL has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over WAL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.61.7% below
20 week MA$78.75.5% below
50 week MA$80.57.6% below
100 week MA$80.37.4% below
200 week MA$70.16.2% above

WAL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 6.2% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over WAL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$57.0$59.9+5.1%
2021$59.9$105.7+76%
2022$105.7$58.1-45%
2023$58.1$65.8+13%
2024$65.8$83.7+27%
2025$83.7$86.6+3.4%
2026 YTD$86.6$74.4-14%

WAL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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