JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VIRT

Virtu Financial, Inc.

64
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

VIRT has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

VIRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

VIRT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VIRT.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

VIRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.6x$45.25-24%
Forward8.2x$59.61—
Current8.8x$59.61—
Fair8.9x$60.51+1.5%
Expensive15x$103+72%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIRT has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

VIRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VIRT, but weaker profitability.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VIRT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VIRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$78.16
Downside-16%$50.37

Calculated from the latest close: $59.61 on Nov 12.

VIRT trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

VIRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.42Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $2.00Q3 2024: $2.01Q4 2024: $2.97Q1 2025: $3.46Q2 2025: $4.40Q3 2025: $4.62Q4 2025: $5.13Q1 2026: $6.04Q2 2026: $6.02Q3 2026: $6.81Forward: $7.30
Q4 2023: $1.42Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $2.00Q3 2024: $2.01Q4 2024: $2.97Q1 2025: $3.46Q2 2025: $4.40Q3 2025: $4.62Q4 2025: $5.13Q1 2026: $6.04Q2 2026: $6.02Q3 2026: $6.81Forward: $7.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.30+7.1%
Q3 2026$6.81+47%
Q2 2026$6.02+37%
Q1 2026$6.04+75%
Q4 2025$5.13+73%
Q3 2025$4.62+130%
Q2 2025$4.40+120%
Q1 2025$3.46+139%
Q4 2024$2.97+109%

VIRT has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

VIRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $536MQ1 2024: $643MQ2 2024: $693MQ3 2024: $707MQ4 2024: $834MQ1 2025: $838MQ2 2025: $1000MQ3 2025: $825MQ4 2025: $970MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $536MQ1 2024: $643MQ2 2024: $693MQ3 2024: $707MQ4 2024: $834MQ1 2025: $838MQ2 2025: $1000MQ3 2025: $825MQ4 2025: $970MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+40%
Q2 2026$1.2B+19%
Q1 2026$1.1B+31%
Q4 2025$969.9M+16%
Q3 2025$824.8M+17%
Q2 2025$999.6M+44%
Q1 2025$837.9M+30%
Q4 2024$834.3M+56%

VIRT has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

VIRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $335MQ1 2024: −$398MQ2 2024: $487MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $392MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: −$77MQ4 2025: $506MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $98MQ3 2026: $281M
Q4 2023: $335MQ1 2024: −$398MQ2 2024: $487MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $392MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: −$77MQ4 2025: $506MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $98MQ3 2026: $281M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$281M+$357.7M
Q2 2026$98.1M+70%
Q1 2026-$5.8M-162%
Q4 2025$505.5M+29%
Q3 2025-$76.7M-172%
Q2 2025$57.6M-88%
Q1 2025$9.2M+$407.5M
Q4 2024$391.7M+17%

VIRT has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over VIRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VIRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 89MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 86MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 88MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 89MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 86MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 88MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+861K shares
1 year+4.3%+3.7M shares
3 years-5.3%-4.9M shares
5 years-24%-28.2M shares
Available history-22%-25.5M shares

VIRT has 88M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

VIRT Net Leverage

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

VIRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic24.4Neutral

VIRT's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

VIRT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricVIRTSector medianRelative
PE8.8x13x33% below
PE %476316 pts below

VIRT has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

VIRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.26% above
20 week MA$59.20.6% above
50 week MA$50.219% above
100 week MA$44.334% above
200 week MA$33.280% above

VIRT has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

VIRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.0$25.1+57%
2021$25.1$28.4+13%
2022$28.4$20.8-27%
2023$20.8$20.3-2.8%
2024$20.3$36.6+81%
2025$36.6$34.1-6.8%
2026 YTD$34.1$59.6+75%

VIRT has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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