JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over TSBK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

TSBK

Timberland Bancorp, Inc.

50
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

TSBK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

TSBK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

TSBK's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TSBK.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over TSBK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSBK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.2x6.4x9.6x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.2x6.4x9.6x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.2x$32.69-31%
Fair9.2x$36.80-23%
Expensive10x$41.53-13%
Current12x$47.61—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSBK's PE is in its expensive range at 12x.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

TSBK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TSBK to show an outlook.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSBK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSBK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$54.28
Downside-16%$39.86

Calculated from the latest close: $47.61 on Nov 12.

TSBK trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over TSBK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSBK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.28Q4 2023: $3.15Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $3.02Q3 2024: $3.00Q4 2024: $3.09Q1 2025: $3.24Q2 2025: $3.40Q3 2025: $3.68Q4 2025: $3.86Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $3.99
Q3 2023: $3.28Q4 2023: $3.15Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $3.02Q3 2024: $3.00Q4 2024: $3.09Q1 2025: $3.24Q2 2025: $3.40Q3 2025: $3.68Q4 2025: $3.86Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $3.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.99+17%
Q1 2026$3.91+21%
Q4 2025$3.86+25%
Q3 2025$3.68+23%
Q2 2025$3.40+13%
Q1 2025$3.24+6.2%
Q4 2024$3.09-1.9%
Q3 2024$3.00-8.5%

TSBK earned $3.99 per share over the past year, up 17% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over TSBK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TSBK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $20MQ4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $22M
Q3 2023: $20MQ4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$21.8M+6.3%
Q1 2026$21.1M+5.8%
Q4 2025$21.7M+10%
Q3 2025$22.5M+15%
Q2 2025$20.5M+9.2%
Q1 2025$19.9M+9%
Q4 2024$19.7M+4.6%
Q3 2024$19.5M-1.4%

TSBK's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $22M last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

TSBK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $7MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $8M
Q3 2023: $7MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$7.8M-25%
Q1 2026$6.2M-49%
Q4 2025$5.6M+$9.1M
Q3 2025$9.5M+50%
Q1 2025$12.2M+237%
Q4 2024-$3.6M-178%
Q3 2024$6.3M-14%
Q4 2023$4.6M-51%

TSBK has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over TSBK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSBK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 8MQ4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8M
Q3 2023: 8MQ4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-66.8K shares
1 year-0.8%-66.4K shares
3 years-4.4%-359K shares
5 years-7.2%-610K shares
Available history-7.2%-613K shares

TSBK has 8M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $9M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

TSBK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -2.5xQ4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: -4.1xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -4.2xQ1 2025: -4.8xQ2 2025: -4.7xQ3 2025: -5.7xQ4 2025: -5.5xQ1 2026: -6.6xQ2 2026: -5.6x
Q3 2023: -2.5xQ4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: -4.1xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -4.2xQ1 2025: -4.8xQ2 2025: -4.7xQ3 2025: -5.7xQ4 2025: -5.5xQ1 2026: -6.6xQ2 2026: -5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-5.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.3xNet Cash

TSBK has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

TSBK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.9Neutral
Stochastic67.8Neutral

TSBK's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TSBK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTSBKSector medianRelative
PE12x13x8.4% below
PE %986335 pts above

TSBK has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

TSBK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.32.8% above
20 week MA$45.74.2% above
50 week MA$41.714% above
100 week MA$36.630% above
200 week MA$32.646% above

TSBK has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

TSBK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.8$24.6-18%
2021$24.6$27.7+13%
2022$27.7$33.1+19%
2023$33.1$31.5-5%
2024$31.5$30.5-3%
2025$30.5$35.8+17%
2026 YTD$35.8$47.6+33%

TSBK has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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